📊 BACKTEST V18 — 19/07/2026

📈 Vue globale

3833

Total trades

3823 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+1.583R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

247

10R

+1.583R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.23	+0.40	+0.64	+0.96	+1.16	+1.32	+1.46	+1.48	+1.43	+1.58
Winrate	52%	49%	47%	41%	39%	36%	33%	31%	28%	24%	24%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

255

10R

+1.545R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.30	+0.48	+0.74	+0.94	+1.05	+1.25	+1.42	+1.47	+1.47	+1.54
Winrate	56%	52%	49%	44%	39%	34%	32%	30%	28%	25%	23%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.258R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.23	+0.45	+0.35	+0.68	+0.94	+0.94	+1.26	+0.81	+0.74	+0.94	+1.13
Winrate	61%	58%	45%	42%	39%	32%	32%	23%	19%	19%	19%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.258R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.23	-0.19	-0.03	+0.29	+0.61	+0.74	+0.81	+0.81	+1.03	+1.26	+0.77
Winrate	39%	32%	32%	32%	32%	29%	26%	23%	23%	23%	16%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

196

+1.041R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.21	+0.36	+0.65	+0.84	+0.90	+0.82	+0.84	+0.88	+1.04	+0.96
Winrate	52%	48%	45%	41%	37%	32%	26%	23%	21%	20%	18%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+1.000R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.67	+0.50	+1.00	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.17	+0.33	+0.50	+0.67	+0.83
Winrate	83%	67%	50%	50%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

278

+0.975R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.18	+0.33	+0.55	+0.67	+0.75	+0.84	+0.87	+0.97	+0.80	+0.86
Winrate	50%	47%	44%	39%	34%	29%	26%	23%	22%	18%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

259

10R

+0.911R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.06	+0.16	+0.33	+0.51	+0.62	+0.76	+0.88	+0.88	+0.85	+0.91
Winrate	49%	42%	39%	33%	30%	27%	25%	24%	21%	18%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

177

+0.881R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	+0.03	+0.17	+0.33	+0.61	+0.69	+0.74	+0.72	+0.88	+0.75	+0.80
Winrate	44%	41%	39%	33%	32%	28%	25%	22%	21%	18%	16%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

202

10R

+0.851R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.14	+0.26	+0.35	+0.46	+0.52	+0.63	+0.78	+0.74	+0.83	+0.85
Winrate	50%	46%	42%	34%	29%	25%	23%	22%	19%	18%	17%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.846R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.39	+0.15	+0.39	+0.85	+0.54	-0.08	+0.08	+0.23	+0.39	+0.54	+0.69
Winrate	69%	46%	46%	46%	31%	15%	15%	15%	15%	15%	15%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

187

10R

+0.824R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.20	+0.36	+0.43	+0.60	+0.67	+0.68	+0.67	+0.78	+0.77	+0.82
Winrate	50%	48%	46%	36%	32%	28%	24%	21%	20%	18%	17%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.774R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.35	-0.19	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-0.03	+0.13	+0.29	+0.45	+0.61	+0.77
Winrate	32%	32%	29%	19%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

193

+0.741R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.11	+0.26	+0.47	+0.55	+0.68	+0.74	+0.70	+0.72	+0.71	+0.60
Winrate	51%	45%	42%	37%	31%	28%	25%	21%	19%	17%	14%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.697R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.21	+0.14	+-0.00	+0.21	+0.52	+0.46	+0.70	+0.70	+0.64	+0.52	+0.67
Winrate	61%	46%	33%	30%	30%	24%	24%	21%	18%	15%	15%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	-0.01	+0.09	+0.46	+0.67	+0.46	+0.48	-0.03	+0.09	+0.21	+0.33
Winrate	48%	39%	36%	36%	33%	24%	21%	12%	12%	12%	12%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.642R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.13	+0.34	+0.34	+0.49	+0.64	+0.61	+0.57	+0.55	+0.21	+0.04	-0.01
Winrate	57%	54%	45%	37%	33%	27%	22%	19%	13%	10%	9%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.613R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.29	+0.45	+0.42	+0.61	+0.16	-0.10	+0.03	-0.13	-0.03	+0.07
Winrate	55%	52%	48%	36%	32%	19%	13%	13%	10%	10%	10%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

265

+0.608R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.20	+0.33	+0.51	+0.55	+0.61	+0.51	+0.60	+0.46	+0.55	+0.54
Winrate	51%	48%	44%	38%	31%	27%	22%	20%	16%	16%	14%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

187

10R

+0.588R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.18	+0.00	+0.07	+0.24	+0.34	+0.51	+0.42	+0.50	+0.54	+0.50	+0.59
Winrate	41%	40%	36%	31%	27%	25%	20%	19%	17%	15%	14%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.531R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.06	+0.03	+0.12	+0.25	+0.31	+0.53	+0.50	+0.41	+0.25	+0.03
Winrate	44%	38%	34%	28%	25%	22%	22%	19%	16%	12%	9%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.515R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.13	+-0.00	+0.27	+0.29	+0.36	+0.27	+0.46	+0.36	+0.52	+0.33
Winrate	44%	35%	33%	32%	26%	23%	18%	18%	15%	15%	12%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.25	+0.50	+0.43	+0.07	+0.29	+0.50	+0.14	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	64%	50%	50%	36%	21%	21%	21%	14%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

230

+0.478R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.11	+0.17	+0.20	+0.17	+0.28	+0.34	+0.36	+0.41	+0.48	+0.43
Winrate	50%	44%	39%	30%	24%	21%	19%	17%	16%	15%	13%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.435R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.17	-0.02	+0.17	+0.30	+0.41	+0.43	+0.22	+0.04	+0.17	+0.09	-0.04
Winrate	41%	39%	39%	33%	28%	24%	17%	13%	13%	11%	9%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.429R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.07	+0.29	+0.14	+0.43	-0.14	+-0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	57%	43%	43%	29%	29%	14%	14%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.422R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.20	-0.11	-0.07	-0.02	+0.22	+0.20	+0.40	+0.42	+0.20	-0.11	-0.02
Winrate	40%	36%	31%	24%	24%	20%	20%	18%	13%	9%	9%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.412R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.14	-0.12	+0.06	+0.26	+0.08	+0.29	+0.37	+0.41	+0.41	+0.37	+0.29
Winrate	43%	35%	35%	31%	22%	22%	20%	18%	16%	14%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.406R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.17	+0.41	+0.38	+0.09	+0.12	+0.09	-0.25	-0.44	-0.38	-0.31
Winrate	50%	47%	47%	34%	22%	19%	16%	9%	6%	6%	6%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.385R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.22	+0.39	+0.33	+0.28	+0.23	+0.08	+0.23	+0.15	+0.28	+0.13
Winrate	51%	49%	46%	33%	26%	20%	15%	15%	13%	13%	10%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.375R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.02	+0.03	+0.38	+0.09	-0.06	-0.34	-0.50	-0.44	-0.38	-0.31
Winrate	50%	41%	34%	34%	22%	16%	9%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	-0.17	+-0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	67%	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.268R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.15	+0.02	+0.27	-0.02	-0.27	-0.66	-0.61	-0.56	-0.51	-0.73
Winrate	39%	34%	34%	32%	20%	12%	5%	5%	5%	5%	2%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.25	+0.25	+0.00	-0.17	+-0.00	-0.42	-0.33	-0.25	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	50%	42%	25%	17%	17%	8%	8%	8%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.161R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.16	-0.04	+0.00	+0.07	-0.14	-0.25	-0.14	-0.04	+0.07	-0.21
Winrate	50%	46%	32%	25%	21%	14%	11%	11%	11%	11%	7%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.154R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	+0.06	-0.08	+0.08	-0.04	+0.15	+0.08	-0.08	+0.04	+0.15	-0.15
Winrate	42%	42%	31%	27%	19%	19%	15%	12%	12%	12%	8%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.151R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.03	-0.01	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	+0.15	-0.01	-0.01	-0.18	-0.25
Winrate	48%	41%	33%	22%	19%	16%	16%	12%	11%	8%	7%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.125R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.25	-0.06	+0.12	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	38%	38%	38%	25%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.125R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	+0.00	-0.06	+0.12	-0.12	-0.50	-0.44	-0.38	-1.00
Winrate	44%	38%	31%	25%	19%	19%	12%	6%	6%	6%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.091R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.27	-0.09	-0.18	+0.09	-0.55	-0.46	-0.36	-0.27	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	36%	36%	27%	27%	9%	9%	9%	9%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.091R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.02	-0.18	-0.46	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	54%	41%	27%	14%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.031R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.25	-0.22	-0.06	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.25	-0.16	-0.06	+0.03
Winrate	38%	31%	31%	22%	19%	16%	12%	9%	9%	9%	9%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1	14
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1	35
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	36
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	15
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	42
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	13
BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1	9
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1	20

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

EMA

positif

+0.77R (10R) — WR: 16%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+1.90R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.60	+0.60	+0.67	+1.00	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	60%	60%	53%	40%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+0.97R (8R) — WR: 22%

+2.73R (6R) — WR: 53%

+1.76R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.83	+1.00	+1.67	+1.67	+2.20	+2.73	+2.20	+2.60	+1.67	+1.93
Winrate	80%	73%	67%	67%	53%	53%	53%	40%	40%	27%	27%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+1.04R (9R) — WR: 20%

+2.79R (10R) — WR: 34%

+1.75R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.38	+0.66	+1.07	+1.41	+1.90	+1.66	+1.76	+2.10	+2.45	+2.79
Winrate	55%	55%	55%	52%	48%	48%	38%	34%	34%	34%	34%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+0.85R (10R) — WR: 17%

+2.23R (9R) — WR: 32%

+1.38R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.21	+0.45	+0.81	+0.94	+1.13	+1.48	+1.84	+1.90	+2.23	+2.19
Winrate	48%	48%	48%	45%	39%	35%	35%	35%	32%	32%	29%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

CHOP

<38.2

+1.54R (10R) — WR: 23%

+2.86R (8R) — WR: 43%

+1.32R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.24	+0.51	+0.81	+1.10	+1.38	+1.86	+2.33	+2.68	+2.86	+2.65	+2.84
Winrate	62%	60%	60%	52%	48%	48%	48%	46%	43%	37%	35%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

EMA

négatif

+0.69R (6R) — WR: 24%

+1.80R (6R) — WR: 40%

+1.11R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.70	+0.75	+0.65	+1.00	+1.50	+1.40	+1.80	+1.80	+1.70	+1.50	+1.75
Winrate	85%	70%	55%	50%	50%	40%	40%	35%	30%	25%	25%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

EMA

négatif

+0.39R (2R) — WR: 46%

+1.44R (10R) — WR: 22%

+1.06R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.81	+1.17	+1.22	+1.22	+1.00	+0.56	+0.78	+1.00	+1.22	+1.44
Winrate	78%	72%	72%	56%	44%	33%	22%	22%	22%	22%	22%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

+0.42R (7R) — WR: 18%

+1.47R (6R) — WR: 35%

+1.05R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.41	+0.62	+0.76	+0.88	+1.35	+1.12	+1.47	+1.35	+1.12	+0.18	+0.29
Winrate	71%	65%	59%	47%	47%	35%	35%	29%	24%	12%	12%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

EMA

négatif

+0.43R (5R) — WR: 24%

+1.45R (5R) — WR: 41%

+1.02R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.36	+0.59	+0.91	+1.00	+1.27	+1.45	+1.23	+0.82	+1.05	+0.82	+0.50
Winrate	68%	64%	64%	50%	45%	41%	32%	23%	23%	18%	14%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

+0.91R (10R) — WR: 17%

+1.93R (10R) — WR: 27%

+1.02R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.07	+0.17	+0.27	+0.51	+0.78	+1.13	+1.33	+1.49	+1.40	+1.67	+1.93
Winrate	47%	47%	42%	38%	36%	36%	33%	31%	27%	27%	27%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.58R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.88R (10R) — WR: 62%

+4.29R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.25	+2.75	+2.75	+3.38	+4.00	+4.62	+5.25	+5.88
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	81%	75%	62%	62%	62%	62%	62%	62%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.55R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.82R (9R) — WR: 68%

+4.27R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.16	+1.59	+2.27	+3.09	+3.64	+4.41	+5.18	+5.14	+5.82	+5.00
Winrate	86%	86%	86%	82%	82%	77%	77%	77%	68%	68%	55%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.55R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.80R (9R) — WR: 68%

+4.25R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.76	+1.20	+1.64	+2.36	+3.20	+3.80	+4.60	+5.40	+5.12	+5.80	+5.16
Winrate	88%	88%	88%	84%	84%	80%	80%	80%	68%	68%	56%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.04R (9R) — WR: 20%

+5.11R (10R) — WR: 56%

+4.07R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.78	+1.22	+1.67	+2.33	+2.89	+3.67	+3.28	+3.44	+4.00	+4.56	+5.11
Winrate	89%	89%	89%	83%	78%	78%	61%	56%	56%	56%	56%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.91R (10R) — WR: 17%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.59R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.25	+1.60	+2.25	+2.90	+3.20	+3.40	+3.50	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	80%	80%	75%	65%	65%	65%	60%	55%	50%	50%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

CHOP

<38.2

+1.55R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.00R (8R) — WR: 67%

+3.45R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+1.14	+1.57	+2.24	+2.57	+3.29	+4.00	+4.71	+5.00	+3.76	+3.71
Winrate	86%	86%	86%	81%	71%	71%	71%	71%	67%	48%	43%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.52R (9R) — WR: 15%

+3.80R (7R) — WR: 60%

+3.28R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.60	+2.47	+2.67	+3.40	+3.20	+3.80	+3.20	+3.67	+2.67
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	87%	73%	73%	60%	60%	47%	47%	33%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.74R (6R) — WR: 25%

+3.71R (7R) — WR: 59%

+2.96R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.65	+0.91	+1.12	+1.82	+2.24	+2.53	+3.12	+3.71	+3.24	+3.71	+2.88
Winrate	82%	76%	71%	71%	65%	59%	59%	59%	47%	47%	35%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

Hist_MACD

positif

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.59R (10R) — WR: 14%

+3.50R (10R) — WR: 41%

+2.91R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.55	+0.82	+1.18	+1.73	+1.95	+2.27	+2.18	+2.64	+3.09	+3.09	+3.50
Winrate	77%	73%	73%	68%	59%	55%	45%	45%	45%	41%	41%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.61R (5R) — WR: 27%

+3.50R (7R) — WR: 56%

+2.89R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.00	+2.75	+2.75	+2.94	+3.50	+2.38	+2.75	+3.12
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	75%	75%	62%	56%	56%	38%	38%	38%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.61R (5R) — WR: 27%

+3.50R (7R) — WR: 56%

+2.89R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.00	+2.75	+2.75	+2.94	+3.50	+2.38	+2.75	+3.12
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	75%	75%	62%	56%	56%	38%	38%	38%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

CHOP

38.2-61.8

+1.04R (9R) — WR: 20%

+3.81R (10R) — WR: 44%

+2.77R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.41	+0.69	+1.25	+1.81	+2.38	+2.06	+2.50	+2.94	+3.38	+3.81
Winrate	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	44%	44%	44%	44%	44%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

Hist_MACD

négatif

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.52R (9R) — WR: 15%

+3.27R (7R) — WR: 53%

+2.75R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.40	+2.20	+2.33	+3.00	+2.73	+3.27	+2.60	+3.00	+1.93
Winrate	87%	87%	80%	80%	67%	67%	53%	53%	40%	40%	27%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+1.04R (9R) — WR: 20%

+3.76R (9R) — WR: 48%

+2.72R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.43	+0.67	+0.86	+1.48	+2.10	+2.71	+3.00	+2.81	+3.29	+3.76	+3.71
Winrate	71%	67%	62%	62%	62%	62%	57%	48%	48%	48%	43%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.88R (8R) — WR: 21%

+3.50R (8R) — WR: 50%

+2.62R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.94	+1.33	+1.67	+2.33	+2.00	+2.50	+3.00	+3.50	+2.89	+3.28
Winrate	78%	78%	78%	67%	67%	50%	50%	50%	50%	39%	39%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	8.0	—
	Confirmers	9	1.4	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	11	7.5	+7.2
	Confirmers	18	0.5	+0.2
	Isolés	16	0.2	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	6	7.2	+7.2
	Confirmers	14	0.7	+0.7
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	90	8.1	+7.1
	Isolés	157	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	54	7.7	+7.0
	Isolés	123	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	8.0	+7.0
	Confirmers	18	1.8	+0.8
	Isolés	10	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	9	7.2	+6.9
	Confirmers	17	1.5	+1.2
	Isolés	7	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	6	6.8	+6.8
	Confirmers	19	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	7	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	94	7.5	+6.8
	Isolés	184	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	101	7.6	+6.7
	Isolés	154	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	82	7.3	+6.5
	Isolés	177	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	9	7.2	+6.4
	Confirmers	16	0.9	+0.1
	Isolés	6	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	66	7.0	+6.3
	Isolés	136	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	65	7.0	+6.2
	Isolés	122	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	67	7.2	+6.1
	Isolés	129	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	57	6.7	+6.1
	Isolés	130	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	69	6.8	+6.1
	Isolés	124	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	10	5.7	+5.7
	Confirmers	13	0.3	+0.3
	Isolés	8	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	12	6.1	+5.6
	Confirmers	16	1.9	+1.4
	Isolés	3	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	6	6.2	+5.5
	Confirmers	20	0.6	-0.1
	Isolés	10	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	5.9	+5.4
	Confirmers	14	0.9	+0.4
	Isolés	7	0.4	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	20	5.8	+5.4
	Confirmers	25	1.2	+0.8
	Isolés	21	0.4	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	5.3	—
	Confirmers	3	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	82	6.5	+5.3
	Isolés	183	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	68	6.0	+5.1
	Isolés	162	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	19	5.5	+4.9
	Confirmers	26	2.6	+1.9
	Isolés	22	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	5.2	+4.9
	Confirmers	6	0.8	+0.5
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	19	5.2	+4.7
	Confirmers	19	0.7	+0.3
	Isolés	13	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	12	5.5	+4.7
	Confirmers	17	1.2	+0.4
	Isolés	10	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	13	5.1	+4.4
	Confirmers	10	0.9	+0.2
	Isolés	10	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	22	0.9	+0.2
	Isolés	12	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	22	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	24	0.5	-0.3
	Isolés	27	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	14	4.1	+4.1
	Confirmers	14	0.1	+0.0
	Isolés	14	0.1	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	4.7	+3.9
	Confirmers	13	1.5	+0.7
	Isolés	10	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	7	4.7	+3.7
	Confirmers	22	1.2	+0.2
	Isolés	3	1.0	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	19	4.4	+3.6
	Confirmers	11	0.9	+0.2
	Isolés	16	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	5	3.6	—
	Confirmers	7	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	11	4.8	+3.5
	Confirmers	13	1.1	-0.1
	Isolés	7	1.3	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	8	3.1	+3.1
	Confirmers	5	0.5	+0.5
	Isolés	7	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	8	3.3	+3.0
	Confirmers	5	0.0	-0.3
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	12	2.4	+2.1
	Confirmers	10	0.8	+0.5
	Isolés	13	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	5	2.0	+1.3
	Confirmers	9	0.8	+0.1
	Isolés	8	0.7	—