📊 BACKTEST V18 — 23/07/2026

📈 Vue globale

4076

Total trades

4067 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+1.596R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

267

10R

+1.596R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.32	+0.51	+0.75	+0.97	+1.07	+1.28	+1.43	+1.49	+1.51	+1.60
Winrate	56%	53%	50%	44%	39%	34%	33%	30%	28%	25%	24%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

259

10R

+1.591R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.24	+0.40	+0.64	+0.95	+1.15	+1.35	+1.50	+1.47	+1.43	+1.59
Winrate	52%	49%	47%	41%	39%	36%	34%	31%	27%	24%	24%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.581R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.23	-0.19	-0.03	+0.29	+0.61	+0.74	+1.03	+1.06	+1.32	+1.58	+1.13
Winrate	39%	32%	32%	32%	32%	29%	29%	26%	26%	26%	19%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.406R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.25	+0.48	+0.41	+0.75	+1.03	+1.06	+1.41	+1.00	+0.69	+0.88	+1.06
Winrate	62%	59%	47%	44%	41%	34%	34%	25%	19%	19%	19%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

294

+1.051R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.18	+0.33	+0.56	+0.70	+0.78	+0.86	+0.91	+1.05	+0.84	+0.95
Winrate	50%	47%	44%	39%	34%	30%	26%	24%	23%	18%	18%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+1.000R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.67	+0.50	+1.00	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.17	+0.33	+0.50	+0.67	+0.83
Winrate	83%	67%	50%	50%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

211

+0.991R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.23	+0.39	+0.67	+0.85	+0.91	+0.82	+0.82	+0.88	+0.99	+0.98
Winrate	53%	49%	46%	42%	37%	32%	26%	23%	21%	20%	18%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

209

10R

+0.947R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.15	+0.28	+0.34	+0.46	+0.49	+0.61	+0.76	+0.77	+0.91	+0.95
Winrate	50%	46%	43%	34%	29%	25%	23%	22%	20%	19%	18%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

274

+0.869R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.05	+0.14	+0.31	+0.50	+0.60	+0.74	+0.87	+0.77	+0.75	+0.81
Winrate	48%	42%	38%	33%	30%	27%	25%	23%	20%	18%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

203

10R

+0.842R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.24	+0.42	+0.48	+0.65	+0.71	+0.69	+0.69	+0.82	+0.82	+0.84
Winrate	52%	50%	47%	37%	33%	29%	24%	21%	20%	18%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

183

+0.820R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.13	+0.03	+0.16	+0.31	+0.58	+0.64	+0.68	+0.66	+0.82	+0.69	+0.74
Winrate	44%	41%	39%	33%	32%	27%	24%	21%	20%	17%	16%

SOLUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.800R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.80	-0.20	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	60%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

203

+0.729R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.12	+0.27	+0.46	+0.55	+0.69	+0.72	+0.69	+0.73	+0.72	+0.52
Winrate	51%	45%	42%	36%	31%	28%	25%	21%	19%	17%	14%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.690R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.15	+0.37	+0.35	+0.52	+0.69	+0.69	+0.58	+0.58	+0.27	+0.13	+0.09
Winrate	58%	55%	45%	38%	34%	28%	22%	20%	14%	11%	10%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.04	+0.08	+0.33	+0.67	+0.50	+0.56	-0.11	+0.00	+0.11	+0.22
Winrate	50%	42%	36%	33%	33%	25%	22%	11%	11%	11%	11%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	-0.12	+0.06	+0.26	+0.11	+0.33	+0.56	+0.63	+0.67	+0.48	+0.43
Winrate	43%	35%	35%	32%	22%	22%	22%	20%	18%	15%	13%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.647R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.23	+0.10	-0.03	+0.18	+0.47	+0.41	+0.65	+0.65	+0.59	+0.47	+0.62
Winrate	62%	44%	32%	29%	29%	24%	24%	21%	18%	15%	15%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.600R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.17	+0.40	+0.60	+0.33	-0.20	-0.07	+0.07	+0.20	+0.33	+0.47
Winrate	67%	47%	47%	40%	27%	13%	13%	13%	13%	13%	13%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.594R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	-0.09	+-0.00	+0.28	+0.30	+0.39	+0.32	+0.51	+0.43	+0.59	+0.43
Winrate	45%	36%	33%	32%	26%	23%	19%	19%	16%	16%	13%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

285

+0.579R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.00	+0.18	+0.32	+0.49	+0.53	+0.58	+0.47	+0.54	+0.39	+0.47	+0.43
Winrate	50%	47%	44%	37%	30%	26%	21%	19%	15%	15%	13%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.562R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.33	+0.50	+0.38	+0.56	+0.12	-0.12	+0.00	-0.16	-0.06	+0.03
Winrate	56%	53%	50%	34%	31%	19%	12%	12%	9%	9%	9%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

193

10R

+0.539R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.18	-0.00	+0.07	+0.22	+0.29	+0.46	+0.38	+0.45	+0.49	+0.45	+0.54
Winrate	41%	40%	36%	31%	26%	24%	20%	18%	17%	14%	14%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.528R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.33	-0.31	-0.17	-0.03	+0.11	+0.25	+0.39	+0.53
Winrate	33%	33%	28%	17%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.25	+0.50	+0.43	+0.07	+0.29	+0.50	+0.14	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	64%	50%	50%	36%	21%	21%	21%	14%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.485R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	-0.09	+-0.00	+0.09	+0.21	+0.27	+0.48	+0.46	+0.36	+0.21	+0.00
Winrate	42%	36%	33%	27%	24%	21%	21%	18%	15%	12%	9%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.435R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.25	+0.43	+0.30	+0.09	+0.04	-0.09	+0.04	-0.02	+0.09	-0.04
Winrate	52%	50%	48%	33%	22%	17%	13%	13%	11%	11%	9%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.429R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.07	+0.16	-0.04	+0.00	-0.11	+0.07	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.29	+0.43	+0.18
Winrate	46%	46%	32%	25%	18%	18%	14%	14%	14%	14%	11%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

243

+0.399R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.00	+0.12	+0.20	+0.23	+0.19	+0.26	+0.30	+0.32	+0.37	+0.40	+0.36
Winrate	50%	45%	40%	31%	24%	21%	18%	16%	15%	14%	12%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.362R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.19	-0.10	-0.11	-0.06	+0.17	+0.15	+0.34	+0.36	+0.15	-0.15	-0.06
Winrate	40%	36%	30%	23%	23%	19%	19%	17%	13%	8%	8%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.347R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.18	-0.08	+0.10	+0.22	+0.33	+0.35	+0.14	-0.02	+0.10	+0.02	-0.10
Winrate	41%	37%	37%	31%	26%	22%	16%	12%	12%	10%	8%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.11	+0.33	+0.22	-0.03	+-0.00	-0.03	-0.33	-0.50	-0.44	-0.39
Winrate	50%	44%	44%	31%	19%	17%	14%	8%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.11	+0.08	+0.33	-0.03	-0.17	-0.42	-0.56	-0.50	-0.44	-0.39
Winrate	56%	44%	36%	33%	19%	14%	8%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	-0.17	+-0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	67%	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	-0.06	+0.12	+0.00	+0.25	-0.25	-0.12	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	38%	38%	25%	25%	12%	12%	12%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.238R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.19	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.24	-0.05	-0.29	-0.67	-0.62	-0.57	-0.52	-0.74
Winrate	40%	33%	33%	31%	19%	12%	5%	5%	5%	5%	2%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.40	-0.25	-0.10	+0.20	-0.50	-0.40	-0.30	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	30%	30%	30%	30%	10%	10%	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.154R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.08	+0.15	+0.15	-0.08	-0.23	-0.08	-0.46	-0.39	-0.31	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	46%	46%	38%	23%	15%	15%	8%	8%	8%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

1.5R

+0.076R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.08	+0.03	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	+0.06	-0.09	-0.09	-0.24	-0.30
Winrate	49%	43%	34%	20%	18%	15%	15%	11%	10%	8%	6%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.067R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.07	-0.33	-0.20	-0.20	-0.33	-0.20	-0.07	-0.47	-0.40	-0.33	-0.27
Winrate	53%	27%	27%	20%	13%	13%	13%	7%	7%	7%	7%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.059R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.06	+0.03	+0.06	-0.06	-0.12	+0.06	-0.18	-0.06	-0.47	-0.41	-0.35
Winrate	47%	41%	35%	24%	18%	18%	12%	12%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.048R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.05	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.23	-0.32	-0.23	-0.13	-0.03	-0.29
Winrate	48%	42%	29%	23%	19%	13%	10%	10%	10%	10%	6%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1	43
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	38
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	15
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	15
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	39
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	24
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1	13
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	44
BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1	9
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1	21
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Reversal -1	6
ETHUSDT 60m LONG Continuation +1	5

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+1.05R (8R) — WR: 23%

+2.94R (6R) — WR: 56%

+1.89R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+0.88	+1.06	+1.75	+1.81	+2.38	+2.94	+2.50	+2.94	+2.12	+2.44
Winrate	81%	75%	69%	69%	56%	56%	56%	44%	44%	31%	31%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+0.99R (9R) — WR: 20%

+2.55R (10R) — WR: 32%

+1.56R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.37	+0.65	+0.94	+1.26	+1.71	+1.48	+1.58	+1.90	+2.23	+2.55
Winrate	55%	55%	55%	48%	45%	45%	35%	32%	32%	32%	32%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

EMA

positif

+0.53R (10R) — WR: 14%

+1.75R (10R) — WR: 25%

+1.22R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.38	+0.35	+0.20	+0.25	+0.50	+0.75	+1.00	+1.25	+1.50	+1.75
Winrate	55%	55%	45%	30%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

CHOP

<38.2

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+2.78R (10R) — WR: 34%

+1.18R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.22	+0.49	+0.79	+1.09	+1.39	+1.78	+2.24	+2.58	+2.76	+2.58	+2.78
Winrate	61%	60%	60%	52%	48%	46%	46%	45%	42%	36%	34%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+0.95R (10R) — WR: 18%

+2.12R (9R) — WR: 31%

+1.18R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.06	+0.17	+0.41	+0.75	+0.88	+1.06	+1.41	+1.75	+1.81	+2.12	+2.09
Winrate	47%	47%	47%	44%	38%	34%	34%	34%	31%	31%	28%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

+0.69R (4R) — WR: 34%

+1.83R (5R) — WR: 47%

+1.14R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.94	+1.00	+1.33	+1.50	+1.83	+1.53	+1.44	+1.00	+0.67	+0.53
Winrate	83%	78%	67%	58%	50%	47%	36%	31%	22%	17%	14%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

EMA

négatif

+0.64R (6R) — WR: 24%

+1.67R (6R) — WR: 38%

+1.02R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+0.67	+0.57	+0.90	+1.38	+1.29	+1.67	+1.67	+1.57	+1.38	+1.62
Winrate	86%	67%	52%	48%	48%	38%	38%	33%	29%	24%	24%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

EMA

négatif

+0.34R (5R) — WR: 22%

+1.35R (5R) — WR: 39%

+1.00R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.30	+0.52	+0.83	+0.91	+1.17	+1.35	+1.13	+0.74	+0.96	+0.74	+0.43
Winrate	65%	61%	61%	48%	43%	39%	30%	22%	22%	17%	13%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

+0.87R (7R) — WR: 23%

+1.87R (10R) — WR: 26%

+1.00R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.09	+0.14	+0.24	+0.48	+0.74	+1.09	+1.28	+1.43	+1.35	+1.61	+1.87
Winrate	46%	46%	41%	37%	35%	35%	33%	30%	26%	26%	26%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

CHOP

>61.8

+0.40R (9R) — WR: 14%

+1.33R (6R) — WR: 33%

+0.93R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.33	+0.60	+0.60	+0.67	+1.00	+1.33	+1.13	+0.80	+1.00	+1.20
Winrate	67%	53%	53%	40%	33%	33%	33%	27%	20%	20%	20%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.54R (9R) — WR: 65%

+3.94R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.77	+1.21	+1.65	+2.38	+3.23	+3.85	+4.65	+5.46	+4.88	+5.54	+4.92
Winrate	88%	88%	88%	85%	85%	81%	81%	81%	65%	65%	54%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.52R (9R) — WR: 65%

+3.93R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.74	+1.17	+1.61	+2.30	+3.13	+3.70	+4.48	+5.26	+4.87	+5.52	+4.74
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	83%	83%	78%	78%	78%	65%	65%	52%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.99R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.79R (10R) — WR: 53%

+3.80R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.79	+1.24	+1.68	+2.16	+2.68	+3.42	+3.05	+3.21	+3.74	+4.26	+4.79
Winrate	89%	89%	89%	79%	74%	74%	58%	53%	53%	53%	53%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.59R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.37R (10R) — WR: 58%

+3.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.68	+1.11	+1.53	+2.37	+2.68	+2.79	+3.42	+4.05	+4.21	+4.79	+5.37
Winrate	84%	84%	84%	84%	74%	63%	63%	63%	58%	58%	58%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.87R (7R) — WR: 23%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.63R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.25	+1.60	+2.25	+2.90	+3.20	+3.40	+3.50	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	80%	80%	75%	65%	65%	65%	60%	55%	50%	50%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

CHOP

<38.2

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.14R (8R) — WR: 68%

+3.54R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.16	+1.59	+2.27	+2.64	+3.36	+4.09	+4.82	+5.14	+4.00	+4.00
Winrate	86%	86%	86%	82%	73%	73%	73%	73%	68%	50%	45%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+0.84R (10R) — WR: 17%

+4.13R (10R) — WR: 47%

+3.29R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.60	+1.93	+2.00	+2.20	+2.73	+2.73	+3.20	+3.67	+4.13
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	73%	60%	53%	53%	47%	47%	47%	47%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.73R (8R) — WR: 19%

+4.00R (9R) — WR: 50%

+3.27R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.94	+1.17	+1.89	+2.33	+2.67	+3.28	+3.89	+3.50	+4.00	+2.67
Winrate	83%	78%	72%	72%	67%	61%	61%	61%	50%	50%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.99R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.26R (10R) — WR: 48%

+3.27R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.48	+0.74	+0.96	+1.61	+2.26	+2.91	+2.96	+3.17	+3.70	+4.22	+4.26
Winrate	74%	70%	65%	65%	65%	65%	57%	52%	52%	52%	48%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.59R (9R) — WR: 16%

+3.80R (7R) — WR: 60%

+3.21R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.60	+2.47	+2.67	+3.40	+3.20	+3.80	+3.20	+3.67	+2.67
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	87%	73%	73%	60%	60%	47%	47%	33%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

Hist_MACD

positif

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.54R (10R) — WR: 14%

+3.50R (10R) — WR: 41%

+2.96R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.55	+0.82	+1.18	+1.73	+1.95	+2.27	+2.18	+2.64	+3.09	+3.09	+3.50
Winrate	77%	73%	73%	68%	59%	55%	45%	45%	45%	41%	41%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.59R (10R) — WR: 24%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+2.91R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.25	+2.44	+2.38	+2.94	+3.50	+3.50	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	81%	69%	56%	56%	56%	50%	50%	50%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.58R (5R) — WR: 26%

+3.44R (7R) — WR: 56%

+2.87R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.94	+1.33	+1.89	+2.61	+2.67	+2.89	+3.44	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	78%	78%	78%	72%	72%	61%	56%	56%	33%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

CHOP

38.2-61.8

+0.99R (9R) — WR: 20%

+3.81R (10R) — WR: 44%

+2.82R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.41	+0.69	+1.25	+1.81	+2.38	+2.06	+2.50	+2.94	+3.38	+3.81
Winrate	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	44%	44%	44%	44%	44%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.54R (10R) — WR: 14%

+3.27R (7R) — WR: 53%

+2.73R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.87	+1.17	+1.60	+2.20	+2.33	+3.00	+2.73	+3.27	+3.20	+3.00	+2.67
Winrate	93%	87%	87%	80%	67%	67%	53%	53%	47%	40%	33%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	8.0	—
	Confirmers	11	1.4	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	10	7.5	+7.5
	Confirmers	16	0.9	+0.9
	Isolés	5	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	95	8.1	+7.2
	Isolés	164	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	8.0	+7.1
	Confirmers	18	1.8	+0.9
	Isolés	11	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	56	7.5	+6.9
	Isolés	127	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	9	7.2	+6.9
	Confirmers	18	1.4	+1.1
	Isolés	7	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	102	7.5	+6.8
	Isolés	192	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	106	7.7	+6.7
	Isolés	161	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	12	7.0	+6.7
	Confirmers	18	0.5	+0.3
	Isolés	17	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	89	7.1	+6.3
	Isolés	185	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	8	6.3	+6.3
	Confirmers	14	0.7	+0.7
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	70	7.0	+6.2
	Isolés	133	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	70	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	139	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	75	7.1	+6.0
	Isolés	136	1.1	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	6	6.7	+6.0
	Confirmers	23	0.5	-0.2
	Isolés	10	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	60	6.5	+5.9
	Isolés	133	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	71	6.7	+5.8
	Isolés	132	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	13	6.2	+5.7
	Confirmers	16	1.9	+1.4
	Isolés	3	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	5.9	+5.5
	Confirmers	15	0.9	+0.5
	Isolés	9	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	20	5.8	+5.4
	Confirmers	27	1.6	+1.2
	Isolés	22	0.4	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	23	6.1	+5.4
	Confirmers	26	1.9	+1.2
	Isolés	22	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	5.3	—
	Confirmers	3	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	88	6.4	+5.3
	Isolés	197	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	20	5.5	+5.1
	Confirmers	21	0.7	+0.2
	Isolés	13	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	72	5.9	+4.9
	Isolés	171	1.0	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	10	4.9	+4.9
	Confirmers	21	0.7	+0.7
	Isolés	7	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	5.2	+4.9
	Confirmers	6	0.8	+0.5
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	12	5.5	+4.8
	Confirmers	20	1.4	+0.7
	Isolés	14	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	13	5.3	+4.7
	Confirmers	12	1.0	+0.4
	Isolés	11	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	13	4.6	+4.6
	Confirmers	15	0.3	+0.3
	Isolés	8	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	23	1.0	+0.2
	Isolés	12	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	22	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	27	0.7	-0.1
	Isolés	30	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	14	4.2	+4.1
	Confirmers	16	0.1	+0.0
	Isolés	14	0.1	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	4.7	+3.9
	Confirmers	15	1.4	+0.6
	Isolés	12	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	19	4.4	+3.7
	Confirmers	13	0.8	+0.1
	Isolés	17	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	5	3.6	—
	Confirmers	8	0.4	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	8	4.5	+3.4
	Confirmers	24	1.2	+0.1
	Isolés	4	1.1	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	12	4.5	+3.2
	Confirmers	13	1.1	-0.1
	Isolés	7	1.3	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	8	3.6	+3.2
	Confirmers	6	0.3	+0.0
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	3.3	+3.0
	Confirmers	9	0.6	+0.3
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	16	2.6	+2.3
	Confirmers	11	0.8	+0.6
	Isolés	16	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	5	2.0	+1.3
	Confirmers	11	0.6	-0.0
	Isolés	8	0.7	—