📊 BACKTEST V18 — 01/07/2026

📈 Vue globale

1861

Total trades

1846 (99%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+2.667R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

10R

+2.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.11	+0.33	+0.78	+1.22	+1.00	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	56%	44%	44%	44%	44%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+1.750R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.33	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.00	+0.25	+0.50	+0.75	+1.00	+1.25	+1.50	+1.75
Winrate	33%	33%	33%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%	25%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+1.357R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.25	-0.14	+0.14	+0.43	+0.29	+0.50	+0.71	+0.93	+1.14	+1.36
Winrate	64%	50%	29%	29%	29%	21%	21%	21%	21%	21%	21%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

136

10R

+1.346R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.20	+0.37	+0.53	+0.88	+1.12	+1.26	+1.29	+1.18	+1.21	+1.35
Winrate	51%	48%	46%	38%	38%	35%	32%	29%	24%	22%	21%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+1.286R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+0.43	+0.71	+1.29	+0.43	+0.71	+1.00	+1.29	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	86%	57%	57%	57%	29%	29%	29%	29%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+1.182R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.36	+0.09	+0.46	+0.82	+1.18	+0.91	+0.46	+0.64	-0.09	-1.00
Winrate	54%	54%	36%	36%	36%	36%	27%	18%	18%	9%	0%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

100

+1.170R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.08	+0.28	+0.47	+0.76	+0.95	+1.10	+1.17	+1.00	+0.98	+1.10	+1.09
Winrate	54%	51%	49%	44%	39%	35%	31%	25%	22%	21%	19%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.143R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.25	+0.29	+0.71	+1.14	+0.29	+0.50	+0.71	+0.93	+1.14	+0.57
Winrate	57%	50%	43%	43%	43%	21%	21%	21%	21%	21%	14%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

+1.054R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.11	+0.03	+0.17	+0.39	+0.69	+0.83	+0.83	+0.91	+1.05	+0.74	+0.79
Winrate	45%	41%	39%	35%	34%	30%	26%	24%	23%	17%	16%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

10R

+1.023R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.13	+0.03	+0.14	+0.42	+0.55	+0.86	+0.93	+0.93	+0.97	+0.95	+1.02
Winrate	44%	41%	38%	36%	31%	31%	28%	24%	22%	20%	18%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

+1.021R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	+0.22	+0.34	+0.66	+0.76	+0.92	+0.79	+0.87	+0.92	+1.02	+0.87
Winrate	53%	49%	45%	42%	35%	32%	26%	23%	21%	20%	17%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+1.000R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.25	+0.33	+0.33	+0.67	+0.67	+0.94	+0.78	+1.00	+0.67	+0.83
Winrate	56%	50%	44%	33%	33%	28%	28%	22%	22%	17%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

117

+0.983R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.09	+0.18	+0.33	+0.54	+0.69	+0.85	+0.98	+0.85	+0.88	+0.97
Winrate	50%	44%	39%	33%	31%	28%	26%	25%	20%	19%	18%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.882R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.32	+0.41	+0.88	+0.18	+0.06	-0.18	-0.06	+0.06	+0.18	+0.29
Winrate	65%	53%	47%	47%	24%	18%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

10R

+0.833R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	-0.58	-0.50	-0.33	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.17	+0.33	+0.50	+0.67	+0.83
Winrate	50%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%	17%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

116

+0.810R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.08	+0.16	+0.34	+0.47	+0.55	+0.63	+0.72	+0.71	+0.81	+0.80
Winrate	49%	43%	39%	34%	29%	26%	23%	22%	19%	18%	16%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.800R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.21	+0.29	+0.26	+0.29	+0.54	+0.80	+0.60	+0.54	+0.43	+0.26
Winrate	57%	49%	43%	31%	26%	26%	26%	20%	17%	14%	11%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.714R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.07	+0.29	+0.71	+0.43	-0.14	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.29	+0.43	+0.57
Winrate	57%	43%	43%	43%	29%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+0.692R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.23	+0.35	+0.61	+0.23	+0.15	+0.39	+0.08	+0.23	+0.39	+0.54	+0.69
Winrate	62%	54%	54%	31%	23%	23%	15%	15%	15%	15%	15%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

133

+0.617R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.20	+0.33	+0.53	+0.62	+0.49	+0.37	+0.44	+0.29	+0.35	+0.32
Winrate	51%	48%	44%	38%	32%	25%	20%	18%	14%	14%	12%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.600R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.00	+0.20	+0.60	+0.25	-0.40	-0.65	-0.60	-0.55	-0.50	-0.45
Winrate	50%	40%	40%	40%	25%	10%	5%	5%	5%	5%	5%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

110

10R

+0.600R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	+0.18	+0.20	+0.24	+0.09	+0.26	+0.46	+0.38	+0.39	+0.55	+0.60
Winrate	53%	47%	40%	31%	22%	21%	21%	17%	16%	16%	14%

SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.600R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.20	+0.60	+0.00	+0.20	+0.40	+0.60	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	40%	40%	20%	20%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.571R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.21	+0.29	+0.37	+0.57	+0.20	-0.20	-0.54	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	54%	49%	43%	34%	31%	20%	11%	6%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

102

+0.569R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.06	+0.13	+0.23	+0.22	+0.23	+0.18	+0.30	+0.41	+0.41	+0.57	+0.51
Winrate	47%	45%	41%	30%	24%	20%	19%	18%	16%	16%	14%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.562R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.25	+0.12	+0.25	+0.56	+0.12	+0.31	-0.50	-0.44	-0.38	-0.31
Winrate	56%	50%	38%	31%	31%	19%	19%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

+0.537R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.05	+0.13	+0.32	+0.27	+0.46	+0.54	+0.45	+0.37	+0.32	+0.34	+0.34
Winrate	48%	45%	44%	32%	29%	26%	21%	17%	15%	13%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.25	+0.50	+0.50	+0.25	+0.12	-0.12	-0.50	-0.44	-0.38	-0.31
Winrate	50%	50%	50%	38%	25%	19%	12%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

138

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.06	+0.10	+0.24	+0.33	+0.41	+0.43	+0.47	+0.45	+0.50	+0.30	+0.43
Winrate	47%	44%	41%	33%	28%	24%	21%	18%	17%	13%	13%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.29	-0.11	+0.07	+0.14	+0.43	+0.50	+0.25	+0.14	+0.29	+0.07	-0.21
Winrate	36%	36%	36%	29%	29%	25%	18%	14%	14%	11%	7%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.364R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.27	+0.36	-0.18	-0.27	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	64%	54%	27%	18%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.17	-0.27	-0.12	+0.00	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.17	+0.33	+0.12	-0.17	-0.08
Winrate	42%	29%	29%	25%	17%	17%	17%	17%	12%	8%	8%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.286R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.14	+0.07	+0.29	+0.14	-0.29	-0.14	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.29	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	43%	43%	43%	29%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.071R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.29	-0.11	+0.07	-0.14	+0.07	-0.14	-0.50	-0.43	-0.36	-0.29	-0.21
Winrate	36%	36%	36%	21%	21%	14%	7%	7%	7%	7%	7%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1	15
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1	37
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1	28
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	8
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	18
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	8
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1	15
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	16
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	7
BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1	5

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

+1.02R (10R) — WR: 18%

+3.00R (9R) — WR: 40%

+1.98R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.25	+0.35	+0.80	+1.00	+1.40	+1.80	+2.20	+2.60	+3.00	+2.85
Winrate	55%	50%	45%	45%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	35%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

+0.81R (9R) — WR: 18%

+2.33R (9R) — WR: 33%

+1.52R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.24	+0.55	+0.86	+0.90	+1.14	+1.00	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+1.62
Winrate	62%	62%	62%	48%	43%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	24%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

+0.50R (8R) — WR: 17%

+1.84R (8R) — WR: 32%

+1.34R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.47	+0.84	+0.89	+1.32	+1.37	+1.53	+1.58	+1.53	+1.84	+1.11	+1.32
Winrate	74%	74%	63%	58%	47%	42%	37%	32%	32%	21%	21%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

EMA

négatif

+0.50R (5R) — WR: 25%

+1.80R (5R) — WR: 47%

+1.30R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.07	+0.33	+0.60	+0.87	+1.33	+1.80	+1.33	+1.13	+1.40	+1.00	+0.47
Winrate	53%	53%	53%	47%	47%	47%	33%	27%	27%	20%	13%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

+0.54R (5R) — WR: 26%

+1.39R (6R) — WR: 34%

+0.85R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.27	+0.46	+0.68	+0.66	+1.07	+1.34	+1.39	+1.34	+1.20	+1.20	+1.15
Winrate	63%	59%	56%	41%	41%	39%	34%	29%	24%	22%	20%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

+1.17R (6R) — WR: 31%

+1.93R (10R) — WR: 27%

+0.76R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.67	+1.00	+0.87	+1.00	+1.40	+1.80	+1.67	+1.40	+1.67	+1.93
Winrate	67%	67%	67%	47%	40%	40%	40%	33%	27%	27%	27%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

EMA

négatif

+0.80R (6R) — WR: 26%

+1.55R (6R) — WR: 36%

+0.75R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.45	+0.59	+0.64	+0.64	+0.82	+1.18	+1.55	+1.55	+1.45	+1.27	+1.00
Winrate	73%	64%	55%	41%	36%	36%	36%	32%	27%	23%	18%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

MACD

négatif

+1.34R (10R) — WR: 21%

+1.98R (10R) — WR: 27%

+0.64R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.36	+0.58	+0.56	+0.95	+1.14	+1.37	+1.58	+1.59	+1.88	+1.98
Winrate	56%	54%	53%	39%	39%	36%	34%	32%	29%	29%	27%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

MACD

négatif

+0.59R (10R) — WR: 14%

+1.17R (10R) — WR: 20%

+0.57R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.14	+0.09	+0.21	+0.21	+0.36	+0.59	+0.70	+0.91	+1.12	+1.17
Winrate	50%	45%	36%	30%	24%	23%	23%	21%	21%	21%	20%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

20-35

+0.98R (7R) — WR: 25%

+1.54R (10R) — WR: 23%

+0.55R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.15	+0.20	+0.21	+0.54	+0.63	+0.85	+1.02	+1.31	+1.42	+1.50	+1.54
Winrate	58%	48%	40%	38%	33%	31%	29%	29%	27%	25%	23%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

Hist_MACD

négatif

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.35R (10R) — WR: 21%

+4.24R (9R) — WR: 52%

+2.89R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+0.90	+1.29	+1.67	+2.33	+2.71	+3.00	+3.19	+3.71	+4.24	+4.24
Winrate	81%	76%	76%	67%	67%	62%	57%	52%	52%	52%	48%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

20-35

+1.17R (6R) — WR: 31%

+3.55R (9R) — WR: 45%

+2.38R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.36	+0.59	+0.91	+1.36	+1.73	+2.27	+2.18	+2.64	+3.09	+3.55	+3.50
Winrate	68%	64%	64%	59%	55%	55%	45%	45%	45%	45%	41%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

<20

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.81R (9R) — WR: 18%

+3.12R (10R) — WR: 38%

+2.31R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.50	+0.41	+0.31	+0.75	+1.19	+1.62	+1.62	+2.00	+2.38	+2.75	+3.12
Winrate	75%	56%	44%	44%	44%	44%	38%	38%	38%	38%	38%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+1.35R (10R) — WR: 21%

+3.40R (9R) — WR: 44%

+2.05R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.90	+1.16	+1.24	+1.80	+2.12	+2.36	+2.52	+2.96	+3.40	+3.40
Winrate	80%	76%	72%	56%	56%	52%	48%	44%	44%	44%	40%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

Hist_MACD

positif

+0.62R (4R) — WR: 32%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+2.05R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.94	+1.33	+1.44	+1.78	+1.67	+2.11	+2.56	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	78%	78%	78%	61%	56%	44%	44%	44%	33%	33%	33%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.50R (8R) — WR: 17%

+2.38R (8R) — WR: 38%

+1.88R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+1.19	+1.25	+1.75	+1.81	+2.00	+2.06	+2.00	+2.38	+1.50	+1.75
Winrate	88%	88%	75%	69%	56%	50%	44%	38%	38%	25%	25%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

<20

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.81R (9R) — WR: 18%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+1.86R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.39	+0.33	+0.56	+0.94	+1.33	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	67%	56%	44%	39%	39%	39%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

20-35

Hist_MACD

négatif

+1.35R (10R) — WR: 21%

+3.07R (10R) — WR: 37%

+1.73R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.26	+0.48	+0.67	+0.78	+1.22	+1.44	+1.85	+2.26	+2.33	+2.70	+3.07
Winrate	63%	59%	56%	44%	44%	41%	41%	41%	37%	37%	37%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

20-35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+1.17R (6R) — WR: 31%

+2.75R (9R) — WR: 38%

+1.58R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.25	+0.46	+0.75	+1.17	+1.29	+1.75	+1.62	+2.00	+2.38	+2.75	+2.67
Winrate	62%	58%	58%	54%	46%	46%	38%	38%	38%	38%	33%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.54R (5R) — WR: 26%

+2.11R (7R) — WR: 39%

+1.57R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.44	+0.67	+1.00	+1.00	+1.50	+2.00	+1.72	+2.11	+1.50	+1.78	+2.06
Winrate	72%	67%	67%	50%	50%	50%	39%	39%	28%	28%	28%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

Hist_MACD

positif

+1.17R (6R) — WR: 31%

+2.71R (5R) — WR: 62%

+1.54R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.02	+1.43	+1.67	+2.33	+2.71	+2.67	+1.67	+1.57	+1.86	+1.62
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	67%	67%	62%	52%	33%	29%	29%	24%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.57R (9R) — WR: 16%

+2.04R (9R) — WR: 30%

+1.47R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.22	+0.52	+0.70	+0.74	+0.96	+1.09	+1.43	+1.78	+1.74	+2.04	+1.87
Winrate	61%	61%	57%	43%	39%	35%	35%	35%	30%	30%	26%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

20-35

+0.60R (10R) — WR: 15%

+2.03R (10R) — WR: 28%

+1.43R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.38	+0.64	+0.86	+0.93	+0.90	+1.07	+1.41	+1.48	+1.48	+1.76	+2.03
Winrate	69%	66%	62%	48%	38%	34%	34%	31%	28%	28%	28%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

Hist_MACD

négatif

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.50R (8R) — WR: 17%

+1.93R (10R) — WR: 27%

+1.43R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+0.60	+1.13	+1.33	+1.00	+1.33	+1.13	+1.40	+1.67	+1.93
Winrate	80%	80%	53%	53%	47%	33%	33%	27%	27%	27%	27%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

CHOP

<38.2

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.81R (9R) — WR: 18%

+2.16R (9R) — WR: 32%

+1.35R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.47	+0.45	+0.42	+0.68	+0.84	+0.89	+1.21	+1.53	+1.84	+2.16	+1.89
Winrate	74%	58%	47%	42%	37%	32%	32%	32%	32%	32%	26%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	4	7.8	—
	Confirmers	3	1.3	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	4	7.0	—
	Confirmers	5	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	37	7.6	+6.9
	Isolés	80	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	31	7.3	+6.7
	Isolés	61	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	5	7.0	+6.6
	Confirmers	12	0.5	+0.1
	Isolés	11	0.4	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	7.1	+6.6
	Confirmers	5	0.6	+0.1
	Isolés	4	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	37	8.1	+6.4
	Isolés	99	1.6	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	6.3	—
	Confirmers	10	0.4	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	41	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	97	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	42	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	58	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	5	6.0	+6.0
	Confirmers	4	0.5	+0.5
	Isolés	3	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	35	6.5	+6.0
	Isolés	52	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	44	6.5	+5.9
	Isolés	72	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	30	6.6	+5.8
	Isolés	72	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	31	6.7	+5.8
	Isolés	79	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	29	6.3	+5.7
	Isolés	53	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	3	7.3	+5.7
	Confirmers	9	2.5	+0.8
	Isolés	6	1.7	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	5.4	—
	Confirmers	11	1.3	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	35	6.4	+5.2
	Isolés	59	1.2	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	5.3	+5.0
	Confirmers	7	1.1	+0.8
	Isolés	5	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	5.0	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	5	5.0	+5.0
	Confirmers	11	1.2	+1.2
	Isolés	4	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	32	6.4	+4.9
	Isolés	101	1.5	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	5.5	+4.8
	Confirmers	6	1.8	+1.2
	Isolés	3	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	15	5.5	+4.6
	Confirmers	8	0.3	-0.6
	Isolés	12	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	4	4.0	+4.0
	Confirmers	6	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	5	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	6	5.8	+4.0
	Confirmers	3	0.0	-1.8
	Isolés	5	1.8	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	10	4.8	+3.8
	Confirmers	9	0.4	-0.6
	Isolés	9	1.0	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	3.7	—
	Confirmers	4	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	10	4.1	+3.5
	Confirmers	9	0.2	-0.4
	Isolés	5	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	7	4.0	+3.4
	Confirmers	15	1.2	+0.6
	Isolés	15	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	7	3.3	—
	Confirmers	8	1.6	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	9	4.1	+3.1
	Confirmers	12	1.7	+0.7
	Isolés	14	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	6	3.2	+2.9
	Confirmers	8	0.0	-0.2
	Isolés	4	0.2	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	4.5	+2.9
	Confirmers	7	1.3	-0.3
	Isolés	5	1.6	—