📊 BACKTEST V18 — 31/07/2026

📈 Vue globale

5066

Total trades

5063 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+3.200R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Reversal +1

+3.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+3.20	+2.20	+2.60	+3.00	+1.20
Winrate	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	40%	40%	40%	20%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

316

10R

+1.541R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	+0.28	+0.43	+0.65	+0.95	+1.05	+1.19	+1.35	+1.36	+1.37	+1.54
Winrate	53%	51%	48%	41%	39%	34%	31%	29%	26%	24%	23%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

336

10R

+1.521R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.29	+0.46	+0.71	+0.91	+1.02	+1.17	+1.29	+1.38	+1.44	+1.52
Winrate	55%	52%	49%	43%	38%	34%	31%	29%	26%	24%	23%

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+1.400R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.20	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+0.40	+0.60	+0.80	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	40%	40%	40%	40%	20%	20%	20%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.353R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.23	-0.19	-0.12	+0.18	+0.47	+0.59	+0.85	+0.88	+1.12	+1.35	+0.94
Winrate	38%	32%	29%	29%	29%	26%	26%	24%	24%	24%	18%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

250

+1.000R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.22	+0.37	+0.58	+0.76	+0.82	+0.79	+0.82	+0.91	+1.00	+0.98
Winrate	52%	49%	46%	40%	35%	30%	26%	23%	21%	20%	18%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

360

+0.975R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.24	+0.38	+0.62	+0.71	+0.80	+0.85	+0.87	+0.97	+0.83	+0.93
Winrate	52%	49%	46%	41%	34%	30%	26%	23%	22%	18%	18%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.896R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.25	+0.19	+0.50	+0.67	+0.62	+0.90	+0.67	+0.50	+0.67	+0.60
Winrate	52%	50%	40%	38%	33%	27%	27%	21%	17%	17%	15%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

254

10R

+0.819R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.11	+0.23	+0.29	+0.44	+0.49	+0.54	+0.70	+0.70	+0.77	+0.82
Winrate	48%	44%	41%	32%	29%	25%	22%	21%	19%	18%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

348

+0.816R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.11	+0.21	+0.34	+0.49	+0.59	+0.69	+0.82	+0.76	+0.75	+0.77
Winrate	50%	44%	40%	34%	30%	26%	24%	23%	20%	18%	16%

SOLUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.800R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.80	-0.20	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	60%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

255

+0.800R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.00	+0.18	+0.34	+0.43	+0.57	+0.65	+0.68	+0.69	+0.80	+0.77	+0.77
Winrate	50%	47%	45%	36%	31%	28%	24%	21%	20%	18%	16%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.786R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+0.79	+0.71	+0.71	-0.29	-0.14	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.29	+0.43	+0.57
Winrate	86%	71%	57%	43%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.750R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.25	+0.25	+0.50	+0.50	+0.25	+0.50	+0.75	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	62%	50%	50%	38%	25%	25%	25%	12%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

10R

+0.737R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.05	+0.10	+0.26	+0.49	+0.47	+0.60	+0.26	+0.42	+0.58	+0.74
Winrate	49%	42%	37%	32%	30%	25%	23%	16%	16%	16%	16%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.737R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.16	+0.05	+0.26	+0.47	+0.32	-0.05	+0.10	+0.26	+0.42	+0.58	+0.74
Winrate	58%	42%	42%	37%	26%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

245

+0.714R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.14	+0.27	+0.39	+0.49	+0.59	+0.69	+0.67	+0.69	+0.71	+0.57
Winrate	51%	46%	42%	35%	30%	26%	24%	21%	19%	17%	14%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

229

10R

+0.681R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	+0.04	+0.11	+0.29	+0.42	+0.62	+0.53	+0.57	+0.65	+0.62	+0.68
Winrate	42%	42%	37%	32%	28%	27%	22%	20%	18%	16%	15%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

227

+0.626R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	+0.06	+0.18	+0.37	+0.59	+0.56	+0.60	+0.59	+0.63	+0.50	+0.55
Winrate	45%	42%	39%	34%	32%	26%	23%	20%	18%	15%	14%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.600R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.28	+0.30	+0.47	+0.56	+0.60	+0.48	+0.51	+0.20	+0.11	+0.10
Winrate	54%	51%	43%	37%	31%	27%	21%	19%	13%	11%	10%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.581R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.13	-0.03	+0.02	+0.10	+0.37	+0.35	+0.58	+0.55	+0.45	+0.13	+0.24
Winrate	44%	39%	34%	27%	27%	23%	23%	19%	16%	11%	11%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

345

+0.577R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.17	+0.29	+0.47	+0.51	+0.56	+0.48	+0.58	+0.43	+0.51	+0.53
Winrate	51%	47%	43%	37%	30%	26%	21%	20%	16%	15%	14%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

303

+0.515R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.00	+0.13	+0.23	+0.25	+0.27	+0.37	+0.39	+0.43	+0.52	+0.42	+0.38
Winrate	50%	45%	41%	31%	25%	23%	20%	18%	17%	14%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.27	+0.19	+0.09	+0.36	+0.48	+0.36	+0.43	+0.46	+0.43	+0.36	+0.50
Winrate	64%	48%	36%	34%	30%	23%	20%	18%	16%	14%	14%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.463R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.22	+0.39	+0.27	+0.46	+0.02	-0.15	-0.02	-0.12	-0.02	+0.07
Winrate	51%	49%	46%	32%	29%	17%	12%	12%	10%	10%	10%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.452R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.19	-0.07	+0.11	+0.23	+0.37	+0.45	+0.13	+0.03	+0.16	-0.03	-0.11
Winrate	40%	37%	37%	31%	27%	24%	16%	13%	13%	10%	8%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.417R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.15	+0.19	+0.42	+0.15	+-0.00	-0.12	-0.17	-0.06	-0.17	-0.31
Winrate	56%	46%	40%	35%	23%	17%	12%	10%	10%	8%	6%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.404R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.28	-0.26	-0.11	-0.06	-0.04	+0.02	+0.04	+0.02	+0.15	+0.28	+0.40
Winrate	36%	30%	30%	23%	19%	17%	15%	13%	13%	13%	13%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.400R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	+0.00	+0.12	+0.30	+0.25	+0.35	+0.40	+0.40	+0.35	+0.25	-0.17
Winrate	45%	40%	38%	32%	25%	22%	20%	18%	15%	12%	8%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.385R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.20	-0.19	-0.08	+0.11	-0.08	+0.11	+0.29	+0.35	+0.39	+0.23	+0.18
Winrate	40%	32%	31%	28%	18%	18%	18%	17%	15%	12%	11%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.385R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.08	+0.09	+-0.00	+0.13	+0.28	+0.23	+0.08	+0.23	+0.39	+0.28	+0.13
Winrate	46%	44%	33%	28%	26%	20%	15%	15%	15%	13%	10%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.316R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.18	+0.26	+0.26	+0.32	+0.26	+0.10	+0.26	-0.05	-0.47	-0.42
Winrate	53%	47%	42%	32%	26%	21%	16%	16%	10%	5%	5%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.300R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.17	+0.30	+0.27	+0.25	+0.30	+0.05	+0.07	+0.05	+0.17	+0.10
Winrate	48%	47%	43%	32%	25%	22%	15%	13%	12%	12%	10%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.294R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.11	-0.09	-0.05	+0.18	+0.23	+0.20	+0.15	+0.22	+0.17	+0.29	+0.17
Winrate	45%	36%	32%	29%	25%	20%	16%	15%	13%	13%	11%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	+0.06	-0.10	+0.00	-0.12	-0.10	-0.12	+0.00	+0.12	+0.25	+0.10
Winrate	45%	42%	30%	25%	18%	15%	12%	12%	12%	12%	10%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

1.5R

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.25	+0.20	-0.20	+0.00	-0.40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	50%	40%	20%	20%	10%	10%	10%	10%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.214R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.01	+0.21	+0.05	-0.17	-0.14	-0.17	-0.24	-0.57	-0.52	-0.48
Winrate	50%	40%	40%	26%	17%	14%	12%	10%	5%	5%	5%

BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.40	-0.25	-0.10	+0.20	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	30%	30%	30%	30%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.167R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.11	+0.17	+0.11	-0.17	+-0.00	-0.22	-0.56	-0.50	-0.44	-0.39
Winrate	56%	44%	39%	28%	17%	17%	11%	6%	6%	6%	6%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.154R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.23	-0.18	-0.02	+0.15	-0.04	-0.31	-0.73	-0.69	-0.65	-0.61	-0.79
Winrate	38%	33%	33%	29%	19%	12%	4%	4%	4%	4%	2%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.129R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.10	+0.10	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	+0.13	+0.03	-0.03	-0.14	-0.29
Winrate	50%	44%	37%	25%	19%	16%	16%	13%	11%	9%	6%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.105R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.05	+0.05	+0.10	-0.16	-0.21	-0.05	-0.63	-0.58	-0.53	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	47%	42%	37%	21%	16%	16%	5%	5%	5%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.078R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.26	-0.22	-0.23	-0.29	-0.31	-0.41	-0.31	-0.22	-0.12	-0.02	+0.08
Winrate	37%	31%	26%	18%	14%	10%	10%	10%	10%	10%	10%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.059R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	-0.27	-0.12	-0.29	-0.41	-0.29	-0.18	-0.53	-0.47	-0.41	-0.35
Winrate	53%	29%	29%	18%	12%	12%	12%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.017R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.07	+0.02	-0.05	-0.15	-0.39	-0.53	-0.73	-0.85	-0.83	-0.81
Winrate	44%	37%	34%	24%	17%	10%	7%	3%	2%	2%	2%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.016R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.02	-0.06	-0.25	-0.84	-0.81	-0.78	-0.75	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	41%	31%	19%	3%	3%	3%	3%	0%	0%	0%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1	6
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1	17
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	17
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1	8
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	48
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	59
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1	13
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1	35
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Reversal -1	6
ETHUSDT 60m LONG Continuation +1	5

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

+0.71R (9R) — WR: 17%

+4.40R (8R) — WR: 60%

+3.69R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.83	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+4.40	+4.33	+3.40
Winrate	80%	73%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	53%	40%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

<30

+0.82R (7R) — WR: 23%

+3.81R (10R) — WR: 44%

+3.00R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+0.88	+1.06	+1.50	+1.81	+2.00	+2.50	+3.00	+2.94	+3.38	+3.81
Winrate	81%	75%	69%	62%	56%	50%	50%	50%	44%	44%	44%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

+0.74R (10R) — WR: 16%

+2.85R (10R) — WR: 35%

+2.11R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+0.95	+1.40	+1.75	+1.70	+1.80	+1.80	+2.15	+2.50	+2.85
Winrate	80%	80%	65%	60%	55%	45%	40%	35%	35%	35%	35%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

CHOP

>61.8

+0.58R (7R) — WR: 20%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+2.09R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.50	+0.80	+1.13	+1.00	+1.00	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	67%	60%	60%	53%	40%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+0.90R (6R) — WR: 27%

+2.60R (7R) — WR: 45%

+1.70R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.80	+1.25	+1.25	+1.80	+2.25	+2.00	+2.50	+2.60	+2.15	+2.50	+2.30
Winrate	90%	90%	75%	70%	65%	50%	50%	45%	35%	35%	30%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+1.00R (9R) — WR: 20%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+1.67R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.39	+0.67	+1.00	+1.36	+1.67	+1.53	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	56%	56%	56%	50%	47%	44%	36%	33%	33%	33%	33%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

+0.60R (5R) — WR: 27%

+2.18R (5R) — WR: 53%

+1.57R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.62	+0.76	+1.12	+1.65	+2.18	+1.47	+1.82	+1.12	+0.18	+0.29
Winrate	65%	65%	59%	53%	53%	53%	35%	35%	24%	12%	12%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+0.97R (8R) — WR: 22%

+2.50R (6R) — WR: 50%

+1.53R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.94	+1.17	+1.67	+1.78	+2.33	+2.50	+2.11	+2.50	+1.78	+2.06
Winrate	83%	78%	72%	67%	56%	56%	50%	39%	39%	28%	28%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

+1.52R (10R) — WR: 23%

+3.04R (9R) — WR: 40%

+1.52R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.36	+0.63	+1.11	+1.63	+2.05	+2.56	+2.93	+2.79	+3.04	+2.86
Winrate	56%	54%	54%	53%	53%	51%	51%	49%	42%	40%	35%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

+0.58R (6R) — WR: 23%

+1.85R (6R) — WR: 41%

+1.27R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.41	+0.67	+0.78	+1.07	+1.59	+1.44	+1.85	+1.67	+1.67	+0.85	+1.04
Winrate	70%	67%	59%	52%	52%	41%	41%	33%	30%	19%	19%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.82R (7R) — WR: 23%

+5.05R (10R) — WR: 55%

+4.23R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.80	+1.25	+1.55	+1.80	+2.50	+3.20	+3.55	+3.80	+4.40	+4.50	+5.05
Winrate	90%	90%	85%	70%	70%	70%	65%	60%	60%	55%	55%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.82R (7R) — WR: 23%

+4.89R (10R) — WR: 54%

+4.08R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+1.14	+1.46	+1.71	+2.39	+3.07	+3.50	+3.86	+4.14	+4.36	+4.89
Winrate	86%	86%	82%	68%	68%	68%	64%	61%	57%	54%	54%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.00R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.87R (10R) — WR: 53%

+3.87R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+1.93	+2.67	+3.00	+3.20	+3.27	+3.80	+4.33	+4.87
Winrate	80%	80%	80%	73%	73%	67%	60%	53%	53%	53%	53%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.82R (10R) — WR: 17%

+4.62R (8R) — WR: 62%

+3.81R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.00	+2.44	+2.75	+3.38	+4.00	+4.62	+4.62	+4.50
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	75%	69%	62%	62%	62%	62%	56%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.52R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.30R (9R) — WR: 63%

+3.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.63	+1.04	+1.44	+2.11	+2.89	+3.44	+4.19	+4.93	+4.67	+5.30	+4.70
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	78%	78%	74%	74%	74%	63%	63%	52%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.00R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.74R (10R) — WR: 52%

+3.74R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.74	+1.17	+1.61	+2.13	+2.70	+3.17	+2.96	+3.17	+3.70	+4.22	+4.74
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	78%	74%	70%	57%	52%	52%	52%	52%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.52R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.25R (9R) — WR: 62%

+3.73R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.69	+1.11	+1.53	+2.25	+3.06	+3.69	+4.47	+5.00	+4.62	+5.25	+4.84
Winrate	84%	84%	84%	81%	81%	78%	78%	75%	62%	62%	53%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.71R (9R) — WR: 17%

+4.40R (8R) — WR: 60%

+3.69R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.83	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+4.40	+4.33	+3.40
Winrate	80%	73%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	53%	40%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

CHOP

<38.2

+1.52R (10R) — WR: 23%

+4.76R (8R) — WR: 64%

+3.24R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.68	+1.10	+1.52	+2.04	+2.40	+3.08	+3.76	+4.44	+4.76	+3.80	+3.84
Winrate	84%	84%	84%	76%	68%	68%	68%	68%	64%	48%	44%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.58R (7R) — WR: 20%

+3.80R (7R) — WR: 60%

+3.22R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+2.00	+2.75	+2.90	+3.20	+3.80	+2.60	+2.50	+2.85
Winrate	80%	80%	80%	75%	75%	65%	60%	60%	40%	35%	35%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+1.00R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.13R (10R) — WR: 47%

+3.13R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.47	+0.75	+0.90	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+2.73	+3.00	+3.50	+4.00	+4.13
Winrate	73%	70%	63%	60%	60%	60%	53%	50%	50%	50%	47%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

<30

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.82R (7R) — WR: 23%

+3.81R (10R) — WR: 44%

+3.00R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+0.88	+1.06	+1.50	+1.81	+2.00	+2.50	+3.00	+2.94	+3.38	+3.81
Winrate	81%	75%	69%	62%	56%	50%	50%	50%	44%	44%	44%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.58R (7R) — WR: 20%

+3.57R (7R) — WR: 57%

+2.99R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.02	+1.43	+1.86	+2.57	+2.71	+3.00	+3.57	+2.43	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	71%	71%	62%	57%	57%	38%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.54R (10R) — WR: 23%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+2.96R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.16	+1.45	+2.27	+2.41	+2.55	+2.82	+3.36	+3.50	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	86%	86%	82%	82%	68%	59%	55%	55%	50%	50%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

Hist_MACD

positif

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.68R (10R) — WR: 15%

+3.58R (10R) — WR: 42%

+2.90R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.58	+0.88	+1.25	+1.67	+1.92	+2.25	+2.21	+2.67	+3.12	+3.17	+3.58
Winrate	79%	75%	75%	67%	58%	54%	46%	46%	46%	42%	42%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	4	8.5	—
	Confirmers	13	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	10	7.5	+7.5
	Confirmers	19	0.9	+0.9
	Isolés	5	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	119	7.8	+6.8
	Isolés	197	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	126	7.4	+6.6
	Isolés	234	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	69	7.2	+6.5
	Isolés	158	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	7	7.1	+6.5
	Confirmers	30	0.5	-0.2
	Isolés	11	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	134	7.4	+6.5
	Isolés	202	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	13	6.7	+6.5
	Confirmers	22	1.4	+1.2
	Isolés	9	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	18	6.7	+6.4
	Confirmers	21	0.9	+0.5
	Isolés	23	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	80	7.0	+6.2
	Isolés	174	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	10	6.2	+6.2
	Confirmers	20	0.9	+0.9
	Isolés	10	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	75	6.8	+6.2
	Isolés	154	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	7.0	+6.2
	Confirmers	23	2.1	+1.3
	Isolés	12	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	115	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	233	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	90	7.0	+6.1
	Isolés	160	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	88	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	167	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	12	6.2	+5.9
	Confirmers	15	0.8	+0.6
	Isolés	12	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	16	6.1	+5.9
	Confirmers	24	1.7	+1.5
	Isolés	8	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	86	6.6	+5.8
	Isolés	159	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	13	5.5	+5.5
	Confirmers	25	0.7	+0.7
	Isolés	9	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	111	6.4	+5.4
	Isolés	234	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	17	5.8	+5.3
	Confirmers	24	1.3	+0.7
	Isolés	19	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	86	6.2	+5.0
	Isolés	217	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	24	5.5	+5.0
	Confirmers	35	1.2	+0.7
	Isolés	26	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	32	5.5	+5.0
	Confirmers	29	1.8	+1.2
	Isolés	29	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	6	5.3	+5.0
	Confirmers	7	0.7	+0.4
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	22	5.5	+4.9
	Confirmers	18	0.9	+0.3
	Isolés	17	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	22	5.2	+4.9
	Confirmers	25	0.6	+0.3
	Isolés	18	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	4.5	—
	Confirmers	3	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	15	4.5	+4.3
	Confirmers	19	0.4	+0.2
	Isolés	17	0.2	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	8	5.0	+4.3
	Confirmers	28	0.9	+0.2
	Isolés	16	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	28	5.1	+4.3
	Confirmers	29	0.7	-0.1
	Isolés	36	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	4.8	+4.1
	Confirmers	20	1.2	+0.6
	Isolés	13	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	24	4.6	+4.1
	Confirmers	16	0.8	+0.3
	Isolés	22	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	6	3.8	—
	Confirmers	12	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	9	4.1	+3.7
	Confirmers	7	0.9	+0.5
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	14	4.8	+3.6
	Confirmers	19	1.0	-0.1
	Isolés	8	1.1	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	17	3.9	+3.6
	Confirmers	21	0.4	+0.1
	Isolés	21	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	9	5.1	+3.4
	Confirmers	34	1.5	-0.2
	Isolés	5	1.7	—
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	3.3	—
	Confirmers	13	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	10	3.5	+3.3
	Confirmers	10	0.3	+0.1
	Isolés	15	0.2	—
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	3.2	—
	Confirmers	11	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	3.3	+3.0
	Confirmers	12	2.0	+1.6
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	20	2.9	+2.7
	Confirmers	20	1.2	+1.0
	Isolés	19	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	2.7	+1.9
	Confirmers	14	0.7	-0.1
	Isolés	11	0.8	—