📊 BACKTEST V18 — 02/08/2026

📈 Vue globale

5322

Total trades

5317 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+2.500R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Reversal +1

+2.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.25	+0.50	+1.00	+1.50	+2.00	+2.50	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+0.83
Winrate	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	33%	33%	33%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

330

10R

+1.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	+0.26	+0.41	+0.60	+0.89	+1.00	+1.14	+1.30	+1.32	+1.33	+1.50
Winrate	53%	50%	47%	40%	38%	33%	31%	29%	26%	23%	23%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

350

10R

+1.451R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.29	+0.45	+0.68	+0.86	+0.97	+1.10	+1.22	+1.31	+1.37	+1.45
Winrate	55%	51%	48%	42%	37%	33%	30%	28%	26%	24%	22%

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+1.400R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.20	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+0.40	+0.60	+0.80	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	40%	40%	40%	40%	20%	20%	20%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.222R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.17	-0.08	+0.11	+0.39	+0.50	+0.75	+0.78	+1.00	+1.22	+0.83
Winrate	39%	33%	31%	28%	28%	25%	25%	22%	22%	22%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

374

+0.973R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.24	+0.39	+0.64	+0.72	+0.81	+0.85	+0.88	+0.97	+0.84	+0.91
Winrate	52%	50%	46%	41%	34%	30%	26%	24%	22%	18%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

269

+0.970R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.21	+0.34	+0.55	+0.73	+0.76	+0.74	+0.78	+0.87	+0.97	+0.92
Winrate	51%	48%	45%	39%	35%	29%	25%	22%	21%	20%	18%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.875R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+0.88	+0.88	+0.50	-0.38	-0.25	-0.12	+0.00	+0.12	+0.25	+0.38
Winrate	88%	75%	62%	38%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.857R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.22	+0.16	+0.47	+0.63	+0.59	+0.86	+0.63	+0.47	+0.63	+0.57
Winrate	51%	49%	39%	37%	33%	26%	26%	20%	16%	16%	14%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

268

+0.813R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.18	+0.33	+0.40	+0.55	+0.63	+0.67	+0.70	+0.81	+0.79	+0.81
Winrate	50%	47%	44%	35%	31%	27%	24%	21%	20%	18%	16%

SOLUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.800R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.80	-0.20	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	60%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.765R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.32	+0.59	+0.65	+0.47	+0.77	+0.65	-0.06	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	65%	53%	53%	41%	29%	29%	24%	12%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

365

+0.753R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.08	+0.17	+0.29	+0.44	+0.55	+0.65	+0.75	+0.73	+0.70	+0.75
Winrate	49%	43%	39%	32%	29%	26%	24%	22%	19%	17%	16%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+0.750R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.27	+0.19	+0.16	+0.46	+0.70	+0.50	+0.59	+0.64	+0.64	+0.59	+0.75
Winrate	64%	48%	39%	36%	34%	25%	23%	20%	18%	16%	16%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

272

10R

+0.739R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.12	+0.22	+0.28	+0.43	+0.48	+0.54	+0.68	+0.62	+0.69	+0.74
Winrate	48%	45%	41%	32%	29%	25%	22%	21%	18%	17%	16%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.737R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.16	+0.05	+0.26	+0.47	+0.32	-0.05	+0.10	+0.26	+0.42	+0.58	+0.74
Winrate	58%	42%	42%	37%	26%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%	16%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

241

10R

+0.734R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.14	+0.04	+0.12	+0.31	+0.45	+0.67	+0.57	+0.63	+0.72	+0.66	+0.73
Winrate	43%	42%	37%	33%	29%	28%	22%	20%	19%	17%	16%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

235

+0.723R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.08	+0.09	+0.21	+0.43	+0.62	+0.61	+0.67	+0.67	+0.72	+0.62	+0.64
Winrate	46%	43%	40%	36%	32%	27%	24%	21%	19%	16%	15%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

368

10R

+0.704R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.17	+0.30	+0.49	+0.55	+0.61	+0.56	+0.70	+0.56	+0.66	+0.70
Winrate	50%	47%	43%	37%	31%	27%	22%	21%	17%	17%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

260

+0.692R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.14	+0.26	+0.37	+0.46	+0.57	+0.64	+0.63	+0.66	+0.69	+0.56
Winrate	51%	46%	42%	34%	29%	26%	24%	20%	18%	17%	14%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

10R

+0.571R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.07	+0.05	+0.21	+0.35	+0.33	+0.44	+0.14	+0.29	+0.43	+0.57
Winrate	49%	43%	35%	30%	27%	22%	21%	14%	14%	14%	14%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.531R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.09	+0.02	+0.03	+0.06	+0.33	+0.31	+0.53	+0.50	+0.41	+0.09	+0.20
Winrate	45%	41%	34%	27%	27%	22%	22%	19%	16%	11%	11%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

324

+0.528R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.12	+0.22	+0.27	+0.27	+0.37	+0.40	+0.46	+0.53	+0.51	+0.53
Winrate	49%	45%	41%	32%	25%	23%	20%	18%	17%	15%	14%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.520R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.16	+0.20	+0.26	+0.52	+0.30	+0.20	+0.12	+0.12	+0.26	+0.20	+0.10
Winrate	58%	48%	42%	38%	26%	20%	16%	14%	14%	12%	10%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.22	+0.22	+0.38	+0.46	+0.50	+0.39	+0.42	+0.12	+0.04	+0.03
Winrate	52%	49%	41%	34%	29%	25%	20%	18%	12%	10%	9%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.20	-0.12	-0.17	+0.10	+0.00	+0.20	+0.40	+0.40	+0.35	+0.50	+0.10
Winrate	40%	35%	28%	28%	20%	20%	20%	18%	15%	15%	10%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.452R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.17	+0.31	+0.29	+0.29	+0.35	+0.24	+0.29	+0.31	+0.45	+0.42
Winrate	48%	47%	44%	32%	26%	23%	18%	16%	14%	14%	13%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.429R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.17	-0.05	+0.14	+0.27	+0.43	+0.43	+0.11	+0.02	+0.14	+0.11	+0.05
Winrate	41%	38%	38%	32%	29%	24%	16%	13%	13%	11%	10%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.429R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	-0.05	+0.07	+0.24	+0.31	+0.43	+0.33	+0.33	+0.29	+0.19	-0.21
Winrate	45%	38%	36%	31%	26%	24%	19%	17%	14%	12%	7%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

1.5R

+0.364R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.27	+0.36	+0.09	-0.27	-0.09	-0.46	-0.36	-0.27	-0.18	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	64%	54%	36%	18%	18%	9%	9%	9%	9%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.364R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.21	-0.20	-0.09	+0.09	-0.09	+0.09	+0.27	+0.33	+0.36	+0.21	+0.17
Winrate	39%	32%	30%	27%	18%	18%	18%	17%	15%	12%	11%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.350R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.05	+0.12	+0.05	+0.10	+0.25	+0.20	+0.05	+0.20	+0.35	+0.25	+0.10
Winrate	48%	45%	35%	28%	25%	20%	15%	15%	15%	12%	10%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.17	+0.33	+0.16	+0.33	-0.07	-0.22	-0.11	-0.20	-0.11	-0.02
Winrate	49%	47%	44%	29%	27%	16%	11%	11%	9%	9%	9%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.33	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.17	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	33%	33%	33%	17%	17%	17%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.316R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.18	+0.26	+0.26	+0.32	+0.26	+0.10	+0.26	-0.05	-0.47	-0.42
Winrate	53%	47%	42%	32%	26%	21%	16%	16%	10%	5%	5%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.307R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.07	-0.03	+0.02	+0.27	+0.31	+0.29	+0.11	+0.18	+0.12	+0.25	+0.12
Winrate	47%	39%	34%	32%	26%	22%	16%	15%	12%	12%	10%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.294R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.02	+0.08	+0.18	+0.23	+0.26	+0.23	+0.18	+0.29
Winrate	39%	33%	33%	26%	22%	20%	18%	16%	14%	12%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.256R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.05	+0.26	+0.21	+0.05	+0.12	+0.14	+0.12	+0.05	-0.07	-0.23
Winrate	51%	42%	42%	30%	21%	19%	16%	14%	12%	9%	7%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.245R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.21	-0.15	-0.15	-0.24	-0.24	-0.32	-0.21	-0.09	+0.02	+0.13	+0.24
Winrate	40%	34%	28%	19%	15%	11%	11%	11%	11%	11%	11%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.240R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.15	+0.16	+0.04	+0.09	+0.12	+0.24	+0.17	+0.12	-0.06	-0.20
Winrate	51%	46%	38%	26%	22%	19%	18%	15%	12%	9%	7%

BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.40	-0.25	-0.10	+0.20	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	30%	30%	30%	30%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.190R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.14	+0.01	-0.14	-0.05	-0.17	-0.14	-0.17	-0.05	+0.07	+0.19	+0.05
Winrate	43%	40%	29%	24%	17%	14%	12%	12%	12%	12%	10%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.111R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.11	-0.07	-0.22	-0.61	-0.56	-0.67	-0.63	-0.80
Winrate	39%	33%	33%	28%	18%	13%	6%	6%	4%	4%	2%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.105R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.05	+0.05	+0.10	+0.05	-0.21	-0.05	-0.63	-0.58	-0.53	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	47%	42%	37%	26%	16%	16%	5%	5%	5%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.105R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.05	+0.10	+0.05	-0.21	-0.05	-0.26	-0.58	-0.53	-0.47	-0.42
Winrate	53%	42%	37%	26%	16%	16%	10%	5%	5%	5%	5%

SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.059R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.18	+0.03	+0.06	-0.06	-0.41	-0.29	-0.59	-0.53	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	41%	41%	35%	24%	12%	12%	6%	6%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.059R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	-0.27	-0.12	-0.29	-0.41	-0.29	-0.18	-0.53	-0.47	-0.41	-0.35
Winrate	53%	29%	29%	18%	12%	12%	12%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.033R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.06	+0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.31	-0.43	-0.61	-0.85	-0.84	-0.82
Winrate	44%	38%	34%	25%	20%	12%	8%	5%	2%	2%	2%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.016R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.02	-0.06	-0.25	-0.84	-0.81	-0.78	-0.75	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	41%	31%	19%	3%	3%	3%	3%	0%	0%	0%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	17
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	63
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	49
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1	8
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1	14
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Reversal -1	6
ETHUSDT 60m LONG Continuation +1	5

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

+0.69R (9R) — WR: 17%

+4.29R (8R) — WR: 59%

+3.60R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.53	+0.76	+0.76	+1.35	+1.94	+2.53	+3.12	+3.71	+4.29	+4.29	+3.53
Winrate	76%	71%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	53%	41%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

<30

+0.75R (7R) — WR: 22%

+3.53R (10R) — WR: 41%

+2.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.53	+0.76	+0.94	+1.35	+1.65	+1.82	+2.29	+2.76	+2.71	+3.12	+3.53
Winrate	76%	71%	65%	59%	53%	47%	47%	47%	41%	41%	41%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

+0.57R (10R) — WR: 14%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+2.09R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.52	+0.90	+0.86	+1.29	+1.62	+1.57	+1.67	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	76%	76%	62%	57%	52%	43%	38%	33%	33%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

CHOP

>61.8

+0.71R (10R) — WR: 16%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+1.96R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.50	+0.80	+1.13	+1.00	+1.00	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	67%	60%	60%	53%	40%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+0.97R (9R) — WR: 20%

+2.86R (10R) — WR: 35%

+1.89R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.42	+0.70	+1.05	+1.43	+1.76	+1.65	+1.81	+2.16	+2.51	+2.86
Winrate	57%	57%	57%	51%	49%	46%	38%	35%	35%	35%	35%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+1.22R (9R) — WR: 22%

+3.00R (9R) — WR: 40%

+1.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.33	+0.40	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+1.80	+2.20	+2.60	+3.00	+1.93
Winrate	60%	53%	47%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	27%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

+0.24R (6R) — WR: 18%

+2.00R (8R) — WR: 33%

+1.76R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.07	+0.17	+0.40	+0.33	+0.67	+1.00	+1.33	+1.67	+2.00	+1.00	+1.20
Winrate	47%	47%	47%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	33%	20%	20%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+0.86R (6R) — WR: 26%

+2.60R (7R) — WR: 45%

+1.74R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.80	+1.25	+1.25	+1.80	+2.25	+2.00	+2.50	+2.60	+2.15	+2.50	+2.30
Winrate	90%	90%	75%	70%	65%	50%	50%	45%	35%	35%	30%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

+0.50R (9R) — WR: 15%

+2.12R (9R) — WR: 31%

+1.62R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.50	+0.56	+0.69	+1.25	+0.88	+1.25	+1.62	+2.00	+1.81	+2.12	+1.06
Winrate	75%	62%	56%	56%	38%	38%	38%	38%	31%	31%	19%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+0.97R (8R) — WR: 22%

+2.50R (6R) — WR: 50%

+1.53R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.94	+1.17	+1.67	+1.78	+2.33	+2.50	+2.11	+2.50	+1.78	+2.06
Winrate	83%	78%	72%	67%	56%	56%	50%	39%	39%	28%	28%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+0.97R (9R) — WR: 20%

+5.19R (10R) — WR: 56%

+4.22R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.00	+2.75	+3.12	+3.38	+3.50	+4.06	+4.62	+5.19
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	75%	75%	69%	62%	56%	56%	56%	56%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.75R (7R) — WR: 22%

+4.76R (10R) — WR: 52%

+4.01R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+1.14	+1.43	+1.67	+2.33	+3.00	+3.33	+3.57	+4.14	+4.24	+4.76
Winrate	86%	86%	81%	67%	67%	67%	62%	57%	57%	52%	52%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.97R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.96R (10R) — WR: 54%

+3.99R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+1.19	+1.62	+2.17	+2.75	+3.25	+3.08	+3.33	+3.87	+4.42	+4.96
Winrate	88%	88%	88%	79%	75%	71%	58%	54%	54%	54%	54%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.75R (7R) — WR: 22%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.75R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.30	+1.53	+2.17	+2.80	+3.20	+3.53	+3.80	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	80%	80%	77%	63%	63%	63%	60%	57%	53%	50%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.45R (10R) — WR: 22%

+5.07R (9R) — WR: 61%

+3.62R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.64	+1.05	+1.46	+2.14	+2.75	+3.29	+4.00	+4.71	+4.46	+5.07	+4.50
Winrate	82%	82%	82%	79%	75%	71%	71%	71%	61%	61%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.45R (10R) — WR: 22%

+5.06R (9R) — WR: 61%

+3.61R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.70	+1.12	+1.55	+2.27	+2.94	+3.55	+4.30	+4.82	+4.45	+5.06	+4.67
Winrate	85%	85%	85%	82%	79%	76%	76%	73%	61%	61%	52%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.69R (9R) — WR: 17%

+4.29R (8R) — WR: 59%

+3.60R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.53	+0.76	+0.76	+1.35	+1.94	+2.53	+3.12	+3.71	+4.29	+4.29	+3.53
Winrate	76%	71%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	53%	41%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.74R (10R) — WR: 16%

+4.29R (8R) — WR: 59%

+3.56R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.65	+0.91	+1.29	+1.82	+2.24	+2.53	+3.12	+3.71	+4.29	+4.29	+4.18
Winrate	82%	76%	76%	71%	65%	59%	59%	59%	59%	53%	47%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.69R (9R) — WR: 17%

+4.06R (8R) — WR: 56%

+3.37R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.50	+0.72	+0.69	+1.25	+1.81	+2.38	+2.94	+3.50	+4.06	+4.00	+3.12
Winrate	75%	69%	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	50%	38%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.70R (10R) — WR: 15%

+3.95R (7R) — WR: 62%

+3.25R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.02	+1.43	+2.05	+2.81	+3.00	+3.33	+3.95	+2.86	+2.81	+3.19
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	76%	76%	67%	62%	62%	43%	38%	38%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.70R (10R) — WR: 15%

+3.87R (7R) — WR: 61%

+3.17R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.65	+1.07	+1.48	+1.96	+2.70	+2.91	+3.26	+3.87	+2.91	+2.91	+3.30
Winrate	83%	83%	83%	74%	74%	65%	61%	61%	43%	39%	39%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.97R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.13R (10R) — WR: 47%

+3.16R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.47	+0.75	+0.90	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+2.73	+3.00	+3.50	+4.00	+4.13
Winrate	73%	70%	63%	60%	60%	60%	53%	50%	50%	50%	47%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.50R (10R) — WR: 23%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.00R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.16	+1.45	+2.27	+2.41	+2.55	+2.82	+3.36	+3.50	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	86%	86%	82%	82%	68%	59%	55%	55%	50%	50%	50%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+0.81R (8R) — WR: 20%

+3.63R (10R) — WR: 42%

+2.82R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.58	+0.97	+1.37	+1.74	+1.89	+1.84	+2.32	+2.37	+2.79	+3.21	+3.63
Winrate	79%	79%	79%	68%	58%	47%	47%	42%	42%	42%	42%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

<30

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.75R (7R) — WR: 22%

+3.53R (10R) — WR: 41%

+2.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.53	+0.76	+0.94	+1.35	+1.65	+1.82	+2.29	+2.76	+2.71	+3.12	+3.53
Winrate	76%	71%	65%	59%	53%	47%	47%	47%	41%	41%	41%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	4	8.5	—
	Confirmers	13	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	11	7.0	+7.0
	Confirmers	19	0.9	+0.9
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	126	7.5	+6.6
	Isolés	204	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	74	7.3	+6.6
	Isolés	161	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	7.4	+6.6
	Confirmers	25	2.0	+1.2
	Isolés	12	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	13	6.8	+6.5
	Confirmers	22	1.8	+1.6
	Isolés	9	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	7	7.1	+6.5
	Confirmers	31	0.6	-0.1
	Isolés	11	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	129	7.3	+6.4
	Isolés	245	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	139	7.3	+6.4
	Isolés	211	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	79	6.9	+6.3
	Isolés	162	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	83	7.0	+6.2
	Isolés	189	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	10	6.2	+6.2
	Confirmers	21	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	11	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	117	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	248	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	19	6.5	+6.1
	Confirmers	22	0.9	+0.6
	Isolés	23	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	94	6.8	+6.1
	Isolés	174	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	94	7.0	+6.1
	Isolés	175	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	12	6.2	+5.9
	Confirmers	16	0.9	+0.6
	Isolés	12	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	16	6.1	+5.9
	Confirmers	25	1.6	+1.4
	Isolés	8	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	91	6.5	+5.8
	Isolés	169	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	118	6.7	+5.7
	Isolés	250	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	17	6.1	+5.6
	Confirmers	26	1.6	+1.0
	Isolés	19	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	93	6.3	+5.3
	Isolés	231	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	6	5.3	+5.0
	Confirmers	8	1.2	+0.9
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	33	5.4	+5.0
	Confirmers	31	1.6	+1.2
	Isolés	32	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	22	5.2	+4.9
	Confirmers	25	0.6	+0.3
	Isolés	19	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	13	5.5	+4.8
	Confirmers	27	1.0	+0.3
	Isolés	11	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	24	5.2	+4.6
	Confirmers	20	0.8	+0.2
	Isolés	19	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	26	5.3	+4.6
	Confirmers	35	1.3	+0.6
	Isolés	27	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	5.2	+4.6
	Confirmers	28	0.9	+0.2
	Isolés	17	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	4.5	—
	Confirmers	4	1.1	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	17	4.7	+4.5
	Confirmers	19	0.4	+0.2
	Isolés	17	0.2	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	5.0	+4.3
	Confirmers	21	1.9	+1.3
	Isolés	13	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	13	5.9	+4.2
	Confirmers	32	1.3	-0.4
	Isolés	5	1.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	25	4.7	+4.1
	Confirmers	16	0.8	+0.3
	Isolés	22	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	29	5.0	+4.0
	Confirmers	30	1.0	+0.0
	Isolés	37	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	4.0	—
	Confirmers	13	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	18	4.2	+4.0
	Confirmers	24	0.6	+0.3
	Isolés	21	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	14	4.8	+3.9
	Confirmers	21	1.0	+0.1
	Isolés	10	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	9	4.1	+3.7
	Confirmers	7	0.9	+0.5
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	3.7	—
	Confirmers	11	0.4	—
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	3	3.5	—
	Confirmers	7	1.4	—
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	3.5	—
	Confirmers	11	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	3.3	+3.0
	Confirmers	13	1.8	+1.5
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	11	4.0	+2.8
	Confirmers	12	1.9	+0.7
	Isolés	17	1.2	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	21	3.0	+2.5
	Confirmers	20	1.1	+0.6
	Isolés	20	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	2.8	+2.2
	Confirmers	13	0.5	-0.0
	Isolés	10	0.6	—