📊 BACKTEST V18 — 26/07/2026

📈 Vue globale

4474

Total trades

4468 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+2.600R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Reversal +1

+2.600R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+1.80	+2.20	+2.60	+1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	40%	40%	40%	20%	0%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

283

10R

+1.643R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.07	+0.28	+0.45	+0.70	+1.03	+1.16	+1.38	+1.54	+1.54	+1.51	+1.64
Winrate	53%	51%	48%	42%	41%	36%	34%	32%	28%	25%	24%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

296

10R

+1.601R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.31	+0.48	+0.73	+0.96	+1.09	+1.29	+1.43	+1.52	+1.53	+1.60
Winrate	55%	52%	49%	43%	39%	35%	33%	30%	28%	25%	24%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.353R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.23	-0.19	-0.12	+0.18	+0.47	+0.59	+0.85	+0.88	+1.12	+1.35	+0.94
Winrate	38%	32%	29%	29%	29%	26%	26%	24%	24%	24%	18%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.139R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.17	+0.39	+0.33	+0.67	+0.81	+0.83	+1.14	+0.78	+0.50	+0.67	+0.83
Winrate	58%	56%	44%	42%	36%	31%	31%	22%	17%	17%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

225

10R

+1.102R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.07	+0.24	+0.40	+0.67	+0.87	+0.92	+0.87	+0.88	+0.96	+1.09	+1.10
Winrate	53%	50%	47%	42%	37%	32%	27%	24%	22%	21%	19%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

322

+1.096R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.22	+0.38	+0.63	+0.76	+0.84	+0.94	+0.96	+1.10	+0.86	+0.95
Winrate	51%	49%	46%	41%	35%	31%	28%	24%	23%	19%	18%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

232

10R

+0.897R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.13	+0.25	+0.34	+0.49	+0.53	+0.60	+0.76	+0.75	+0.85	+0.90
Winrate	49%	45%	42%	34%	30%	25%	23%	22%	19%	18%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

225

+0.880R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.23	+0.40	+0.48	+0.62	+0.71	+0.71	+0.74	+0.88	+0.87	+0.86
Winrate	51%	49%	47%	37%	32%	28%	24%	22%	21%	19%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

311

10R

+0.839R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.04	+0.14	+0.31	+0.46	+0.56	+0.69	+0.83	+0.79	+0.80	+0.84
Winrate	48%	42%	38%	33%	29%	26%	24%	23%	20%	18%	17%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+0.833R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.22	+0.11	+-0.00	+0.22	+0.53	+0.50	+0.75	+0.78	+0.75	+0.67	+0.83
Winrate	61%	44%	33%	31%	31%	25%	25%	22%	19%	17%	17%

SOLUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.800R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.50	+0.80	-0.20	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	60%	60%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.786R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.71	+0.79	+0.71	+0.71	-0.29	-0.14	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.29	+0.43	+0.57
Winrate	86%	71%	57%	43%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.769R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.15	+0.38	+0.39	+0.54	+0.73	+0.77	+0.61	+0.64	+0.27	+0.15	+0.13
Winrate	58%	55%	46%	38%	35%	30%	23%	20%	14%	12%	10%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.750R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.38	+0.25	+0.50	+0.75	+0.56	+0.12	-0.12	+0.00	+0.12	+0.25	+0.38
Winrate	69%	50%	50%	44%	31%	19%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

198

+0.727R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	+0.04	+0.15	+0.31	+0.59	+0.64	+0.66	+0.62	+0.73	+0.62	+0.67
Winrate	44%	41%	38%	33%	32%	27%	24%	20%	19%	16%	15%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

219

+0.694R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.15	+0.27	+0.42	+0.53	+0.62	+0.69	+0.64	+0.69	+0.69	+0.51
Winrate	52%	46%	42%	36%	31%	27%	24%	20%	19%	17%	14%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.08	+0.15	+0.19	+0.42	+0.67	+0.62	+0.60	+0.00	+0.12	+0.04	+0.15
Winrate	54%	46%	40%	35%	33%	27%	23%	12%	12%	10%	10%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

207

10R

+0.647R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.19	-0.01	+0.06	+0.24	+0.35	+0.54	+0.45	+0.55	+0.61	+0.55	+0.65
Winrate	41%	40%	35%	31%	27%	26%	21%	19%	18%	16%	15%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

310

+0.606R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.17	+0.30	+0.47	+0.52	+0.61	+0.49	+0.60	+0.48	+0.55	+0.56
Winrate	50%	47%	43%	37%	30%	27%	21%	20%	16%	16%	14%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.579R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.16	-0.12	+-0.00	+0.19	+0.05	+0.26	+0.47	+0.54	+0.58	+0.40	+0.35
Winrate	42%	35%	33%	30%	21%	21%	21%	19%	18%	14%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.571R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.29	+0.46	+0.37	+0.57	+0.20	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.03	+0.14	+0.26
Winrate	54%	51%	49%	34%	31%	20%	14%	14%	11%	11%	11%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.556R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.06	+0.04	+0.17	+0.33	+0.39	+0.50	+0.56	+0.56	+0.50	+0.39	-0.08
Winrate	47%	42%	39%	33%	28%	25%	22%	19%	17%	14%	8%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.538R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	+0.00	+0.25	+0.27	+0.48	+0.54	+0.39	+0.15	+0.06
Winrate	42%	36%	31%	25%	25%	21%	21%	19%	15%	12%	10%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.528R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.11	-0.10	+-0.00	+0.28	+0.32	+0.42	+0.36	+0.44	+0.38	+0.53	+0.38
Winrate	44%	36%	33%	32%	26%	24%	19%	18%	15%	15%	12%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

266

+0.523R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.12	+0.21	+0.26	+0.24	+0.35	+0.40	+0.44	+0.52	+0.50	+0.49
Winrate	50%	45%	40%	32%	25%	23%	20%	18%	17%	15%	14%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.25	+0.25	+0.50	+0.50	-0.06	+0.12	+0.31	+0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	62%	50%	50%	38%	19%	19%	19%	12%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.385R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	-0.04	+0.15	+0.23	+0.35	+0.39	+0.08	-0.08	+0.04	-0.04	-0.15
Winrate	42%	38%	38%	31%	27%	23%	15%	12%	12%	10%	8%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.373R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.23	+0.35	+0.26	+0.28	+0.29	+0.23	+0.26	+0.23	+0.37	+0.29
Winrate	51%	49%	45%	31%	26%	22%	18%	16%	14%	14%	12%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.341R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.27	-0.21	-0.20	-0.32	-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.02	+0.10	+0.22	+0.34
Winrate	37%	32%	27%	17%	15%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.300R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.06	+0.05	+0.30	+0.00	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	-0.33	-0.50	-0.45
Winrate	52%	42%	35%	32%	20%	15%	10%	8%	8%	5%	5%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.06	+0.09	-0.06	+0.00	-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	+0.00	+0.12	+0.25	+0.03
Winrate	47%	44%	31%	25%	19%	16%	12%	12%	12%	12%	9%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.244R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.20	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.24	+0.00	-0.20	-0.69	-0.64	-0.60	-0.56	-0.76
Winrate	40%	33%	33%	31%	20%	13%	4%	4%	4%	4%	2%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.231R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.08	+0.03	+0.23	+0.13	-0.10	-0.08	-0.10	-0.39	-0.54	-0.49	-0.44
Winrate	46%	41%	41%	28%	18%	15%	13%	8%	5%	5%	5%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.216R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.08	+0.08	-0.03	+0.08	+0.22	+0.14	-0.05	+0.08	+0.22	-0.19	-0.41
Winrate	46%	43%	32%	27%	24%	19%	14%	14%	14%	8%	5%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.195R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.15	+0.02	+0.07	+0.10	+0.17	+0.20	-0.02	+0.10	-0.02	+0.07
Winrate	39%	34%	34%	27%	22%	20%	17%	12%	12%	10%	10%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.167R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.07	+0.04	-0.10	-0.05	+-0.00	+0.17	+0.05	-0.04	-0.17	-0.34
Winrate	49%	43%	34%	23%	19%	17%	17%	13%	11%	8%	6%

BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.143R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	-0.29	-0.14	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	57%	29%	29%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.125R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.09	+0.12	+0.00	-0.06	+0.12	-0.56	-0.50	-0.44	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	44%	38%	25%	19%	19%	6%	6%	6%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.111R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.11	+0.11	+-0.00	-0.11	+0.11	-0.33	-0.22	-0.11	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	56%	44%	33%	22%	22%	11%	11%	11%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.105R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.05	+0.10	+0.05	-0.21	-0.05	-0.26	-0.16	-0.53	-0.47	-0.42
Winrate	53%	42%	37%	26%	16%	16%	10%	10%	5%	5%	5%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.091R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.46	-0.32	-0.18	+0.09	-0.55	-0.46	-0.36	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	27%	27%	27%	27%	9%	9%	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.067R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.07	-0.33	-0.20	-0.20	-0.33	-0.20	-0.07	-0.47	-0.40	-0.33	-0.27
Winrate	53%	27%	27%	20%	13%	13%	13%	7%	7%	7%	7%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.040R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.00	-0.16	-0.52	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	52%	40%	28%	12%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	16
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1	48
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	16
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	45
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1	13
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	50
BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1	10
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1	26
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Reversal -1	6
ETHUSDT 60m LONG Continuation +1	5

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

+0.69R (6R) — WR: 24%

+4.40R (8R) — WR: 60%

+3.71R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.83	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+4.40	+4.33	+3.40
Winrate	80%	73%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	53%	40%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+1.10R (8R) — WR: 23%

+2.94R (6R) — WR: 56%

+1.84R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+0.88	+1.06	+1.75	+1.81	+2.38	+2.94	+2.50	+2.94	+2.12	+2.44
Winrate	81%	75%	69%	69%	56%	56%	56%	44%	44%	31%	31%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

+0.77R (5R) — WR: 30%

+2.60R (5R) — WR: 60%

+1.83R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.47	+0.83	+1.00	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+1.80	+2.20	+0.80	-0.33	-0.27
Winrate	73%	73%	67%	60%	60%	60%	40%	40%	20%	7%	7%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+1.14R (6R) — WR: 31%

+2.73R (6R) — WR: 53%

+1.59R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.87	+1.33	+1.40	+1.93	+2.33	+2.20	+2.73	+2.73	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	93%	93%	80%	73%	67%	53%	53%	47%	33%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+1.10R (10R) — WR: 19%

+2.67R (10R) — WR: 33%

+1.57R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.15	+0.44	+0.73	+1.06	+1.42	+1.73	+1.55	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	58%	58%	58%	52%	48%	45%	36%	33%	33%	33%	33%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

+0.84R (10R) — WR: 17%

+2.17R (10R) — WR: 29%

+1.34R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.20	+0.33	+0.62	+0.83	+1.19	+1.42	+1.62	+1.60	+1.88	+2.17
Winrate	48%	48%	44%	40%	37%	37%	35%	33%	29%	29%	29%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+0.66R (4R) — WR: 33%

+2.00R (4R) — WR: 60%

+1.34R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.70	+1.00	+1.10	+1.60	+2.00	+2.00	+1.80	+0.60	+0.80	+0.50	+0.65
Winrate	85%	80%	70%	65%	60%	50%	40%	20%	20%	15%	15%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

+0.37R (9R) — WR: 14%

+1.62R (10R) — WR: 24%

+1.25R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.52	+0.79	+1.00	+0.71	+0.90	+0.71	+0.67	+0.90	+1.14	+1.38	+1.62
Winrate	76%	71%	67%	43%	38%	29%	24%	24%	24%	24%	24%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

CHOP

>61.8

+0.52R (8R) — WR: 17%

+1.75R (10R) — WR: 25%

+1.23R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.38	+0.41	+0.69	+0.75	+0.88	+1.25	+1.62	+1.50	+1.25	+1.50	+1.75
Winrate	69%	56%	56%	44%	38%	38%	38%	31%	25%	25%	25%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

EMA

négatif

+0.84R (10R) — WR: 17%

+2.00R (10R) — WR: 27%

+1.16R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+0.70	+0.64	+1.00	+1.50	+1.45	+1.86	+1.91	+1.86	+1.73	+2.00
Winrate	86%	68%	55%	50%	50%	41%	41%	36%	32%	27%	27%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.84R (10R) — WR: 17%

+5.22R (10R) — WR: 57%

+4.38R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.65	+1.07	+1.35	+1.78	+2.48	+3.17	+3.57	+3.87	+4.09	+4.65	+5.22
Winrate	83%	83%	78%	70%	70%	70%	65%	61%	57%	57%	57%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.84R (10R) — WR: 17%

+5.19R (10R) — WR: 56%

+4.35R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+1.19	+1.44	+1.75	+2.44	+3.12	+3.38	+3.50	+4.06	+4.62	+5.19
Winrate	88%	88%	81%	69%	69%	69%	62%	56%	56%	56%	56%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.69R (6R) — WR: 24%

+4.40R (8R) — WR: 60%

+3.71R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.83	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+4.40	+4.33	+3.40
Winrate	80%	73%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	53%	40%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.10R (10R) — WR: 19%

+4.76R (10R) — WR: 52%

+3.66R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.81	+1.26	+1.71	+2.24	+2.81	+3.29	+3.00	+3.19	+3.71	+4.24	+4.76
Winrate	90%	90%	90%	81%	76%	71%	57%	52%	52%	52%	52%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+0.88R (8R) — WR: 21%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.62R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+1.19	+1.62	+2.00	+2.12	+2.38	+2.94	+3.00	+3.50	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	88%	88%	88%	75%	62%	56%	56%	50%	50%	50%	50%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+1.10R (10R) — WR: 19%

+4.70R (10R) — WR: 52%

+3.60R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.48	+0.76	+1.00	+1.67	+2.33	+3.00	+3.15	+3.44	+4.00	+4.56	+4.70
Winrate	74%	70%	67%	67%	67%	67%	59%	56%	56%	56%	52%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.64R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.05R (10R) — WR: 55%

+3.41R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.70	+1.12	+1.40	+2.20	+2.50	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+3.95	+4.50	+5.05
Winrate	85%	85%	80%	80%	70%	60%	60%	60%	55%	55%	55%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.00R (9R) — WR: 60%

+3.40R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+2.04	+2.80	+3.32	+4.04	+4.76	+4.40	+5.00	+4.28
Winrate	80%	80%	80%	76%	76%	72%	72%	72%	60%	60%	48%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+5.00R (9R) — WR: 60%

+3.40R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+1.08	+1.50	+2.20	+3.00	+3.60	+4.37	+4.87	+4.40	+5.00	+4.50
Winrate	83%	83%	83%	80%	80%	77%	77%	73%	60%	60%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

CHOP

<38.2

+1.60R (10R) — WR: 24%

+4.87R (8R) — WR: 65%

+3.27R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.74	+1.17	+1.61	+2.13	+2.48	+3.17	+3.87	+4.57	+4.87	+3.78	+3.78
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	78%	70%	70%	70%	70%	65%	48%	43%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

Hist_MACD

positif

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.65R (10R) — WR: 15%

+3.78R (10R) — WR: 43%

+3.14R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.57	+0.85	+1.22	+1.78	+2.04	+2.39	+2.35	+2.83	+3.30	+3.35	+3.78
Winrate	78%	74%	74%	70%	61%	57%	48%	48%	48%	43%	43%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.61R (5R) — WR: 27%

+3.63R (7R) — WR: 58%

+3.03R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.58	+0.97	+1.37	+1.95	+2.68	+2.79	+3.05	+3.63	+2.32	+2.16	+2.47
Winrate	79%	79%	79%	74%	74%	63%	58%	58%	37%	32%	32%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.53R (9R) — WR: 15%

+3.50R (5R) — WR: 75%

+2.97R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+1.19	+1.62	+2.50	+2.75	+3.50	+3.38	+3.50	+2.94	+3.38	+2.44
Winrate	88%	88%	88%	88%	75%	75%	62%	56%	44%	44%	31%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.61R (5R) — WR: 27%

+3.57R (7R) — WR: 57%

+2.96R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.02	+1.43	+1.86	+2.57	+2.71	+3.00	+3.57	+2.43	+2.33	+2.67
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	71%	71%	62%	57%	57%	38%	33%	33%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

Hist_MACD

négatif

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.10R (10R) — WR: 19%

+3.89R (10R) — WR: 44%

+2.79R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.41	+0.76	+1.00	+1.67	+2.33	+2.78	+2.63	+2.85	+3.33	+3.81	+3.89
Winrate	70%	70%	67%	67%	67%	63%	52%	48%	48%	48%	44%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	10	7.5	+7.5
	Confirmers	19	0.9	+0.9
	Isolés	5	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	4	7.2	—
	Confirmers	11	1.4	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	8.0	+7.1
	Confirmers	21	2.4	+1.4
	Isolés	11	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	109	8.0	+7.0
	Isolés	174	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	9	7.2	+6.9
	Confirmers	20	1.8	+1.5
	Isolés	7	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	59	7.5	+6.8
	Isolés	139	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	113	7.5	+6.8
	Isolés	209	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	15	6.8	+6.6
	Confirmers	19	0.6	+0.3
	Isolés	18	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	99	7.2	+6.5
	Isolés	212	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	8	6.3	+6.3
	Confirmers	18	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	64	6.8	+6.2
	Isolés	143	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	76	7.0	+6.2
	Isolés	156	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	112	7.5	+6.2
	Isolés	184	1.3	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	81	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	144	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	7	6.7	+6.1
	Confirmers	27	0.4	-0.2
	Isolés	11	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	83	7.1	+6.1
	Isolés	142	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	13	6.2	+5.8
	Confirmers	19	1.8	+1.4
	Isolés	4	0.4	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	78	6.5	+5.6
	Isolés	141	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	26	6.2	+5.6
	Confirmers	28	1.8	+1.2
	Isolés	24	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	97	6.5	+5.5
	Isolés	213	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	14	6.1	+5.4
	Confirmers	22	1.4	+0.7
	Isolés	15	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	11	5.6	+5.4
	Confirmers	15	0.8	+0.5
	Isolés	11	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	11	5.4	+5.4
	Confirmers	23	1.0	+1.0
	Isolés	7	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	80	6.3	+5.3
	Isolés	186	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	24	5.5	+5.1
	Confirmers	26	1.2	+0.8
	Isolés	22	0.4	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	20	5.5	+5.1
	Confirmers	23	0.7	+0.2
	Isolés	14	0.4	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	18	5.3	+4.5
	Confirmers	17	1.2	+0.4
	Isolés	13	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	4.5	—
	Confirmers	3	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	6	4.8	+4.5
	Confirmers	7	0.7	+0.4
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	14	4.6	+4.5
	Confirmers	17	0.3	+0.2
	Isolés	10	0.1	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	25	5.2	+4.5
	Confirmers	28	0.6	-0.0
	Isolés	31	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	8	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	25	0.9	+0.1
	Isolés	12	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	4.7	+4.0
	Confirmers	17	1.2	+0.6
	Isolés	13	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	16	3.9	+3.9
	Confirmers	17	0.1	+0.0
	Isolés	17	0.1	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	6	3.8	—
	Confirmers	10	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	9	4.9	+3.8
	Confirmers	27	1.1	-0.1
	Isolés	4	1.1	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	13	5.0	+3.7
	Confirmers	15	1.0	-0.3
	Isolés	7	1.3	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	10	3.5	+3.5
	Confirmers	6	0.4	+0.4
	Isolés	10	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	21	4.2	+3.5
	Confirmers	14	0.9	+0.2
	Isolés	17	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	9	3.5	+3.2
	Confirmers	7	0.4	+0.1
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	3.3	+3.0
	Confirmers	10	1.4	+1.1
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	16	3.0	+2.8
	Confirmers	15	1.2	+1.0
	Isolés	17	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	6	2.0	+1.3
	Confirmers	11	0.6	-0.0
	Isolés	8	0.7	—