📊 BACKTEST V18 — 17/07/2026

📈 Vue globale

3493

Total trades

3485 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+1.593R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.593R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.26	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.33	+0.67	+0.78	+1.07	+1.07	+1.33	+1.59	+1.04
Winrate	37%	33%	33%	33%	33%	30%	30%	26%	26%	26%	18%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

230

10R

+1.583R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.26	+0.43	+0.67	+0.89	+1.01	+1.22	+1.36	+1.43	+1.52	+1.58
Winrate	54%	50%	48%	42%	38%	34%	32%	30%	27%	25%	24%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

228

10R

+1.509R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.21	+0.35	+0.58	+0.89	+1.10	+1.27	+1.39	+1.37	+1.32	+1.51
Winrate	51%	48%	45%	40%	38%	35%	32%	30%	26%	23%	23%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+1.400R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.50	+0.80	+1.40	+0.00	+0.20	+0.40	+0.60	+0.80	+1.00	+1.20
Winrate	80%	60%	60%	60%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%	20%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.258R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.23	+0.45	+0.35	+0.68	+0.94	+0.94	+1.26	+0.81	+0.74	+0.94	+1.13
Winrate	61%	58%	45%	42%	39%	32%	32%	23%	19%	19%	19%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+1.182R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.27	+0.36	+0.64	+1.18	+0.82	+0.09	+0.27	+0.46	+0.64	+0.82	+1.00
Winrate	64%	54%	54%	54%	36%	18%	18%	18%	18%	18%	18%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

184

+0.957R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.18	+0.32	+0.59	+0.77	+0.86	+0.75	+0.78	+0.81	+0.96	+0.91
Winrate	51%	47%	44%	40%	35%	31%	25%	22%	20%	20%	17%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

253

+0.957R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.19	+0.34	+0.55	+0.64	+0.71	+0.80	+0.80	+0.96	+0.74	+0.83
Winrate	50%	47%	45%	39%	33%	28%	26%	22%	22%	17%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

168

+0.929R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.11	+0.04	+0.18	+0.33	+0.61	+0.71	+0.75	+0.76	+0.93	+0.73	+0.77
Winrate	45%	42%	39%	33%	32%	29%	25%	22%	21%	17%	16%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

181

10R

+0.884R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.09	+0.21	+0.28	+0.41	+0.49	+0.59	+0.72	+0.74	+0.88	+0.88
Winrate	48%	44%	40%	32%	28%	25%	23%	22%	19%	19%	17%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.852R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.18	+0.39	+0.56	+0.63	+0.85	+0.33	+0.04	+0.18	+0.00	+0.11	+0.22
Winrate	59%	56%	52%	41%	37%	22%	15%	15%	11%	11%	11%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

232

+0.828R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.06	+0.15	+0.34	+0.53	+0.63	+0.72	+0.83	+0.82	+0.68	+0.75
Winrate	50%	42%	38%	34%	31%	27%	25%	23%	20%	17%	16%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.774R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	-0.03	+0.07	+0.42	+0.77	+0.55	+0.58	+0.03	+0.16	+0.29	+0.42
Winrate	48%	39%	36%	36%	36%	26%	23%	13%	13%	13%	13%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

170

+0.747R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.21	+0.36	+0.43	+0.59	+0.66	+0.69	+0.65	+0.75	+0.71	+0.75
Winrate	50%	48%	45%	36%	32%	28%	24%	21%	19%	17%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

177

+0.701R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.10	+0.25	+0.45	+0.53	+0.63	+0.70	+0.63	+0.63	+0.64	+0.49
Winrate	50%	44%	42%	36%	30%	27%	24%	20%	18%	16%	14%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

247

+0.652R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.23	+0.35	+0.54	+0.60	+0.65	+0.53	+0.62	+0.46	+0.58	+0.56
Winrate	51%	49%	45%	38%	32%	28%	22%	20%	16%	16%	14%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.639R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.15	+0.35	+0.33	+0.51	+0.64	+0.57	+0.49	+0.44	+0.03	-0.18	-0.28
Winrate	57%	54%	44%	38%	33%	26%	21%	18%	12%	8%	7%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.613R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	-0.11	+0.02	+0.29	+0.37	+0.45	+0.35	+0.55	+0.45	+0.61	+0.42
Winrate	45%	36%	34%	32%	27%	24%	19%	19%	16%	16%	13%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.610R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.07	+0.10	+0.32	+0.46	+0.58	+0.61	+0.37	+0.17	+0.32	+0.22	-0.20
Winrate	46%	44%	44%	37%	32%	27%	20%	15%	15%	12%	7%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

167

+0.563R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.15	+0.03	+0.10	+0.25	+0.32	+0.51	+0.47	+0.53	+0.56	+0.50	+0.52
Winrate	42%	41%	36%	31%	26%	25%	21%	19%	17%	15%	14%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.532R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.11	-0.10	+0.09	+0.28	+0.06	+0.28	+0.49	+0.53	+0.53	+0.49	+0.40
Winrate	45%	36%	36%	32%	21%	21%	21%	19%	17%	15%	13%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+0.517R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.24	+0.12	-0.07	-0.03	+0.21	+0.24	+0.45	+0.38	+0.24	+0.38	+0.52
Winrate	62%	45%	31%	24%	24%	21%	21%	17%	14%	14%	14%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

211

+0.517R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.14	+0.21	+0.23	+0.18	+0.28	+0.36	+0.36	+0.41	+0.52	+0.51
Winrate	50%	46%	40%	31%	24%	21%	19%	17%	16%	15%	14%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.29	+0.25	+0.50	+0.43	+0.07	+0.29	+0.50	+0.14	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	64%	50%	50%	36%	21%	21%	21%	14%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.452R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.21	+0.45	+0.42	+0.13	+0.16	-0.10	-0.23	-0.42	-0.35	-0.65
Winrate	52%	48%	48%	36%	23%	19%	13%	10%	6%	6%	3%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.429R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.07	+0.29	+0.14	+0.43	-0.14	+-0.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	57%	43%	43%	29%	29%	14%	14%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.419R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.05	+0.07	+0.42	+0.13	-0.03	-0.32	-0.48	-0.42	-0.35	-0.29
Winrate	52%	42%	36%	36%	23%	16%	10%	6%	6%	6%	6%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.371R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.21	+0.37	+0.26	+0.29	+0.37	+0.20	+0.37	+0.03	+0.14	-0.06
Winrate	54%	49%	46%	31%	26%	23%	17%	17%	11%	11%	9%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.368R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.16	-0.08	+0.10	+0.37	+0.05	-0.21	-0.63	-0.58	-0.53	-0.47	-0.71
Winrate	42%	37%	37%	34%	21%	13%	5%	5%	5%	5%	3%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.366R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.27	-0.21	-0.20	-0.12	+0.10	+0.17	+0.37	+0.37	+0.10	-0.02	+0.07
Winrate	37%	32%	27%	22%	22%	20%	20%	17%	12%	10%	10%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.333R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.33	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.33	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	33%	33%	33%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.320R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.36	-0.20	-0.16	-0.36	-0.40	-0.28	-0.16	-0.04	+0.08	+0.20	+0.32
Winrate	32%	32%	28%	16%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.17	+0.04	-0.12	+0.00	-0.17	+-0.00	-0.12	+0.00	+0.12	+0.25	-0.08
Winrate	42%	42%	29%	25%	17%	17%	12%	12%	12%	12%	8%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.07	+0.00	+-0.00	+0.07	+0.17	+-0.00	+0.17	+0.07	+0.20	+0.00	+0.10
Winrate	47%	40%	33%	27%	23%	17%	17%	13%	13%	10%	10%

SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.20	+0.00	-0.10	+0.20	-0.50	-0.40	-0.30	-0.20	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	40%	40%	30%	30%	10%	10%	10%	10%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.00	-0.25	-0.60	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	40%	25%	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.200R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	-0.50	-0.40	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	60%	20%	20%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.185R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.01	+0.08	+0.01	-0.14	-0.08	+0.01	+0.18	-0.01	-0.03	-0.23	-0.32
Winrate	51%	43%	34%	22%	18%	17%	17%	12%	11%	8%	6%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.138R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.24	-0.22	-0.07	-0.03	+0.03	+0.03	-0.03	-0.17	-0.07	+0.03	+0.14
Winrate	38%	31%	31%	24%	21%	17%	14%	10%	10%	10%	10%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.136R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.09	+0.14	+0.09	-0.27	-0.55	-0.46	-0.36	-0.27	-0.18	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	46%	46%	36%	18%	9%	9%	9%	9%	9%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.125R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	+0.00	-0.06	+0.12	-0.12	-0.50	-0.44	-0.38	-1.00
Winrate	44%	38%	31%	25%	19%	19%	12%	6%	6%	6%	0%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.100R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.10	-0.16	-0.20	+0.00	-0.52	-0.72	-0.68	-0.64	-0.60	-0.56
Winrate	48%	44%	28%	20%	20%	8%	4%	4%	4%	4%	4%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.077R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.08	-0.23	-0.08	-0.08	-0.23	-0.08	+0.08	-0.39	-0.31	-0.23	-0.15
Winrate	54%	31%	31%	23%	15%	15%	15%	8%	8%	8%	8%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1	30
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	37
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	12
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	30
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	13
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1	16
BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1	8

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+0.96R (9R) — WR: 20%

+2.79R (10R) — WR: 34%

+1.83R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.10	+0.38	+0.66	+1.07	+1.41	+1.90	+1.66	+1.76	+2.10	+2.45	+2.79
Winrate	55%	55%	55%	52%	48%	48%	38%	34%	34%	34%	34%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+0.95R (8R) — WR: 22%

+2.73R (6R) — WR: 53%

+1.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.83	+1.00	+1.67	+1.67	+2.20	+2.73	+2.20	+2.60	+1.67	+1.93
Winrate	80%	73%	67%	67%	53%	53%	53%	40%	40%	27%	27%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

CHOP

<38.2

+1.58R (10R) — WR: 24%

+3.36R (10R) — WR: 40%

+1.77R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.21	+0.46	+0.75	+1.04	+1.45	+1.94	+2.43	+2.77	+2.91	+3.15	+3.36
Winrate	60%	58%	58%	51%	49%	49%	49%	47%	43%	42%	40%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

+0.88R (10R) — WR: 17%

+2.33R (9R) — WR: 33%

+1.45R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.20	+0.44	+0.78	+0.85	+1.22	+1.59	+1.96	+2.00	+2.33	+2.26
Winrate	48%	48%	48%	44%	37%	37%	37%	37%	33%	33%	30%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

+0.93R (8R) — WR: 21%

+2.10R (8R) — WR: 34%

+1.18R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	+0.12	+0.34	+0.66	+1.07	+1.07	+1.41	+1.76	+2.10	+1.41	+1.66
Winrate	45%	45%	45%	41%	41%	34%	34%	34%	34%	24%	24%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

+0.70R (6R) — WR: 24%

+1.81R (9R) — WR: 28%

+1.11R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	+0.17	+0.41	+0.88	+1.03	+1.25	+1.62	+1.75	+1.53	+1.81	+1.41
Winrate	53%	47%	47%	47%	41%	38%	38%	34%	28%	28%	22%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

+0.82R (7R) — WR: 23%

+1.81R (10R) — WR: 26%

+0.99R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	+0.10	+0.26	+0.58	+0.86	+1.23	+1.44	+1.60	+1.51	+1.56	+1.81
Winrate	44%	44%	42%	40%	37%	37%	35%	33%	28%	26%	26%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

+0.36R (6R) — WR: 20%

+1.33R (6R) — WR: 33%

+0.97R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.50	+0.60	+0.60	+1.00	+1.00	+1.33	+1.13	+0.80	+0.33	+0.47
Winrate	67%	60%	53%	40%	40%	33%	33%	27%	20%	13%	13%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

EMA

négatif

+0.52R (10R) — WR: 14%

+1.44R (10R) — WR: 22%

+0.93R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+0.67	+0.50	+0.56	+0.94	+1.00	+1.33	+1.22	+1.00	+1.22	+1.44
Winrate	83%	67%	50%	39%	39%	33%	33%	28%	22%	22%	22%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

+0.64R (4R) — WR: 33%

+1.55R (5R) — WR: 42%

+0.91R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.64	+0.89	+0.91	+1.18	+1.27	+1.55	+1.33	+1.18	+0.64	+0.21	+0.00
Winrate	82%	76%	64%	55%	45%	42%	33%	27%	18%	12%	9%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.96R (9R) — WR: 20%

+5.11R (10R) — WR: 56%

+4.15R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.78	+1.22	+1.67	+2.33	+2.89	+3.67	+3.28	+3.44	+4.00	+4.56	+5.11
Winrate	89%	89%	89%	83%	78%	78%	61%	56%	56%	56%	56%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.51R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.60R (10R) — WR: 60%

+4.09R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+2.20	+2.67	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+4.40	+5.00	+5.60
Winrate	80%	80%	80%	80%	73%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%	60%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.58R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.36R (9R) — WR: 64%

+3.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.16	+1.59	+2.27	+3.09	+3.64	+4.41	+5.18	+4.73	+5.36	+4.50
Winrate	86%	86%	86%	82%	82%	77%	77%	77%	64%	64%	50%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.83R (7R) — WR: 23%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.67R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.94	+1.33	+1.89	+2.61	+3.33	+3.67	+3.89	+4.00	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	78%	78%	78%	72%	72%	72%	67%	61%	56%	50%	50%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+1.58R (10R) — WR: 23%

+5.11R (9R) — WR: 61%

+3.53R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.67	+1.08	+1.50	+2.11	+2.89	+3.33	+4.06	+4.78	+4.50	+5.11	+3.89
Winrate	83%	83%	83%	78%	78%	72%	72%	72%	61%	61%	44%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.70R (6R) — WR: 24%

+4.00R (7R) — WR: 62%

+3.30R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+0.88	+1.25	+2.00	+2.44	+2.75	+3.38	+4.00	+3.50	+4.00	+3.12
Winrate	81%	75%	75%	75%	69%	62%	62%	62%	50%	50%	38%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.61R (9R) — WR: 16%

+3.80R (7R) — WR: 60%

+3.19R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.60	+2.47	+2.67	+3.40	+3.20	+3.80	+3.20	+3.67	+2.67
Winrate	87%	87%	87%	87%	73%	73%	60%	60%	47%	47%	33%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

CHOP

<38.2

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.58R (10R) — WR: 23%

+4.72R (10R) — WR: 52%

+3.14R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+1.72	+2.20	+2.84	+3.48	+4.12	+4.04	+4.60	+4.72
Winrate	80%	80%	80%	68%	64%	64%	64%	64%	56%	56%	52%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.93R (8R) — WR: 21%

+4.06R (8R) — WR: 56%

+3.13R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.50	+0.88	+1.25	+1.75	+2.44	+2.38	+2.94	+3.50	+4.06	+3.38	+3.81
Winrate	75%	75%	75%	69%	69%	56%	56%	56%	56%	44%	44%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.96R (9R) — WR: 20%

+4.00R (9R) — WR: 50%

+3.04R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.40	+0.63	+0.80	+1.40	+2.00	+2.60	+2.85	+3.00	+3.50	+4.00	+3.95
Winrate	70%	65%	60%	60%	60%	60%	55%	50%	50%	50%	45%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

CHOP

38.2-61.8

+0.96R (9R) — WR: 20%

+3.81R (10R) — WR: 44%

+2.86R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.12	+0.41	+0.69	+1.25	+1.81	+2.38	+2.06	+2.50	+2.94	+3.38	+3.81
Winrate	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	56%	44%	44%	44%	44%	44%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.65R (5R) — WR: 28%

+3.50R (7R) — WR: 56%

+2.85R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.00	+2.75	+2.75	+2.94	+3.50	+2.38	+2.75	+3.12
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	75%	75%	62%	56%	56%	38%	38%	38%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.65R (5R) — WR: 28%

+3.50R (7R) — WR: 56%

+2.85R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.62	+1.03	+1.44	+2.00	+2.75	+2.75	+2.94	+3.50	+2.38	+2.75	+3.12
Winrate	81%	81%	81%	75%	75%	62%	56%	56%	38%	38%	38%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

Hist_MACD

positif

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.56R (8R) — WR: 17%

+3.40R (10R) — WR: 40%

+2.84R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.50	+0.75	+1.10	+1.60	+1.75	+2.30	+2.15	+2.60	+3.05	+3.00	+3.40
Winrate	75%	70%	70%	65%	55%	55%	45%	45%	45%	40%	40%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

Hist_MACD

négatif

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.61R (9R) — WR: 16%

+3.27R (7R) — WR: 53%

+2.65R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.40	+2.20	+2.33	+3.00	+2.73	+3.27	+2.60	+3.00	+1.93
Winrate	87%	87%	80%	80%	67%	67%	53%	53%	40%	40%	27%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	8.0	—
	Confirmers	7	1.6	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	5	7.8	+7.8
	Confirmers	18	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	7.8	+7.5
	Confirmers	16	0.4	+0.2
	Isolés	16	0.2	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	5	7.4	+7.4
	Confirmers	14	0.7	+0.7
	Isolés	5	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	80	8.0	+7.0
	Isolés	148	1.0	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	8.0	+6.9
	Confirmers	17	1.3	+0.2
	Isolés	9	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	8	6.9	+6.9
	Confirmers	14	1.7	+1.7
	Isolés	5	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	51	7.6	+6.8
	Isolés	117	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	86	7.8	+6.7
	Isolés	144	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	86	7.4	+6.7
	Isolés	167	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	7	6.7	+6.4
	Confirmers	15	1.5	+1.2
	Isolés	7	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	77	7.0	+6.3
	Isolés	155	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	58	7.0	+6.3
	Isolés	123	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	60	6.8	+6.1
	Isolés	110	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	62	7.1	+6.0
	Isolés	122	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	61	6.8	+6.0
	Isolés	116	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	53	6.5	+5.9
	Isolés	114	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	19	6.0	+5.5
	Confirmers	23	1.3	+0.9
	Isolés	20	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	5.3	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	76	6.5	+5.3
	Isolés	171	1.2	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	11	5.7	+5.2
	Confirmers	17	2.4	+1.9
	Isolés	3	0.5	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	65	6.0	+5.1
	Isolés	146	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	18	5.7	+5.0
	Confirmers	23	2.0	+1.3
	Isolés	20	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	10	5.9	+5.0
	Confirmers	16	1.2	+0.2
	Isolés	9	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	5	5.2	+4.9
	Confirmers	6	0.8	+0.5
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	18	5.2	+4.7
	Confirmers	17	0.8	+0.3
	Isolés	12	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	8	4.6	+4.6
	Confirmers	11	0.4	+0.4
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	12	5.3	+4.5
	Confirmers	10	0.9	+0.1
	Isolés	9	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	12	4.4	+4.3
	Confirmers	13	0.1	+0.0
	Isolés	12	0.1	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	3	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	18	0.6	-0.2
	Isolés	9	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	5.0	+4.2
	Confirmers	20	1.1	+0.2
	Isolés	11	0.8	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	6	4.3	+3.9
	Confirmers	12	0.8	+0.3
	Isolés	7	0.4	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	20	4.8	+3.9
	Confirmers	22	0.6	-0.4
	Isolés	23	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	7	4.7	+3.7
	Confirmers	21	1.2	+0.2
	Isolés	3	1.0	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	6	3.7	+3.7
	Confirmers	4	0.4	+0.4
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	4.4	+3.6
	Confirmers	12	1.6	+0.8
	Isolés	10	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	18	4.6	+3.6
	Confirmers	10	1.0	+0.1
	Isolés	13	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	3.2	—
	Confirmers	7	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	8	3.3	+3.0
	Confirmers	5	0.0	-0.3
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	11	4.8	+3.0
	Confirmers	11	1.2	-0.6
	Isolés	5	1.8	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	11	2.0	+1.6
	Confirmers	9	0.8	+0.4
	Isolés	10	0.4	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	1.8	+1.0
	Confirmers	9	0.9	+0.1
	Isolés	7	0.8	—