📊 BACKTEST V18 — 06/08/2026

📈 Vue globale

5747

Total trades

5741 (100%)

Trades complets

Combos actifs

+2.500R

Best Expectancy

📖 Définitions & Objectifs

Objectif du backtest

Identifier quelles configurations de signaux (combo = Ticker × UT × Direction × SignalType × Structure) produisent un edge statistique mesurable sur les futures crypto (BTC, ETH, SOL sur Bitget).

Expectancy

Mesure le gain moyen par trade si la stratégie est répétée indéfiniment.

Formule : Expectancy = WR × NR − (1 − WR) × 1R

Exemple : WR_3R = 40% → Exp = 0.40 × 3 − 0.60 × 1 = +0.60R par trade en moyenne.

Le Best_TP est le niveau de TP qui maximise l'expectancy pour chaque combo. Expectancy négative = la stratégie perd à long terme.

Niveaux de R

R = multiple du risque initial (distance EntryPrice → SL).
1R = récupère ce qu’on risque. 3R = gagne 3× ce qu’on risque. Etc.

Rôles MTF (Multi-TimeFrame)

Starter : signal de TF bas qui a reçu une confirmation sur un TF supérieur avant que son SL soit touché. ⚠ Biais de survie : le SL n’a pas été touché avant la confirmation par définition → WR gonflé mécaniquement.
Confirmer : signal de TF supérieur arrivé après un starter de TF inférieur. Utile pour mesurer la viabilité d’une entrée tardive sur TF supérieur.
Isolé : aucune interaction MTF → baseline du signal pris seul, sans confluence.

Filtres indicateurs

Pour chaque combo, la tranche d’indicateur (RSI, ADX, CHOP, MACD, EMA_Diff) qui produit le meilleur WR sur au moins 15 trades. Permet d’affiner les conditions d’entrée.

Genou de la courbe d’Expectancy (R_genou)

Le genou est le plus petit niveau de R dont l’Expectancy atteint 90 % du maximum de la ligne : viser ce R capture l’essentiel de l’espérance avec un TP plus proche, donc plus souvent rempli. Pas de genou si le max est ≤ 0 (combo perdant).

genou (R à viser) maximum de la courbe— — seuil 90 % du max (pointillé des mini-courbes)

Mêmes couleurs que l’onglet Selection_Bot du Sheet (colonne R_genou orange, colonne Best_Esp jaune, cellules marquées dans les lignes). Si genou = max, seul le point orange est affiché.

Légende des couleurs

Les mini-tableaux par niveau utilisent deux échelles distinctes.

Ligne Expectancy (en R) :

> 1.0R (excellent) 0.5 à 1.0R (bon) 0 à 0.5R (positif faible) < 0R (perdant) vide

Ligne Winrate (en %) :

≥ 60% 45 à 60% 30 à 45% < 30% vide

Bordure verte = Best_TP, le niveau de R qui maximise l’expectancy sur ce sous-ensemble.

⚠ Un Winrate rouge peut coexister avec une Expectancy verte : à R élevé, un WR faible suffit à rendre l’espérance positive. C’est la ligne Expectancy qui juge la rentabilité d’un niveau de TP, pas le Winrate seul.

▼ 🏆 Combos (min 5 trades, triés espérance)

Combo

Best TP

Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau

Courbe Esp

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Reversal +1

+2.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.25	+0.50	+1.00	+1.50	+2.00	+2.50	+1.67	+2.00	+2.33	+0.83
Winrate	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	50%	33%	33%	33%	17%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

352

10R

+1.469R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.24	+0.39	+0.58	+0.88	+0.99	+1.15	+1.32	+1.33	+1.33	+1.47
Winrate	52%	49%	46%	40%	38%	33%	31%	29%	26%	23%	22%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

377

10R

+1.422R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.27	+0.42	+0.66	+0.80	+0.91	+1.04	+1.16	+1.27	+1.33	+1.42
Winrate	54%	51%	48%	41%	36%	32%	29%	27%	25%	23%	22%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+1.105R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.21	-0.21	-0.13	+0.05	+0.32	+0.42	+0.66	+0.68	+0.90	+1.10	+0.74
Winrate	40%	32%	29%	26%	26%	24%	24%	21%	21%	21%	16%

ETHUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+1.000R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.25	+-0.00	+0.33	+0.67	+1.00	+0.17	+0.33	+0.50	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	67%	50%	33%	33%	33%	33%	17%	17%	17%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

405

+1.000R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.05	+0.25	+0.39	+0.63	+0.72	+0.81	+0.87	+0.90	+1.00	+0.90	+0.96
Winrate	52%	50%	46%	41%	34%	30%	27%	24%	22%	19%	18%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

285

+0.895R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.21	+0.35	+0.53	+0.70	+0.70	+0.69	+0.71	+0.80	+0.90	+0.85
Winrate	51%	48%	45%	38%	34%	28%	24%	21%	20%	19%	17%

ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.875R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.75	+0.88	+0.88	+0.50	-0.38	-0.25	-0.12	+0.00	+0.12	+0.25	+0.38
Winrate	88%	75%	62%	38%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

390

10R

+0.862R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.03	+0.20	+0.35	+0.55	+0.60	+0.68	+0.65	+0.81	+0.69	+0.80	+0.86
Winrate	52%	48%	45%	39%	32%	28%	24%	23%	19%	18%	17%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.820R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.04	+0.20	+0.14	+0.44	+0.60	+0.56	+0.82	+0.60	+0.44	+0.60	+0.54
Winrate	52%	48%	38%	36%	32%	26%	26%	20%	16%	16%	14%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

263

10R

+0.757R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.14	+0.04	+0.11	+0.31	+0.45	+0.64	+0.57	+0.61	+0.71	+0.67	+0.76
Winrate	43%	41%	37%	33%	29%	27%	22%	20%	19%	17%	16%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

291

10R

+0.739R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.19	+0.32	+0.40	+0.51	+0.59	+0.59	+0.62	+0.73	+0.72	+0.74
Winrate	50%	47%	44%	35%	30%	26%	23%	20%	19%	17%	16%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

254

+0.736R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.08	+0.09	+0.23	+0.43	+0.63	+0.63	+0.68	+0.70	+0.74	+0.61	+0.65
Winrate	46%	44%	41%	36%	33%	27%	24%	21%	19%	16%	15%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

390

+0.682R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.07	+0.16	+0.27	+0.40	+0.51	+0.61	+0.68	+0.66	+0.64	+0.66
Winrate	48%	43%	39%	32%	28%	25%	23%	21%	18%	16%	15%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.33	+0.39	+0.50	+0.56	+0.39	+0.67	+0.56	-0.11	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	67%	56%	50%	39%	28%	28%	22%	11%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.667R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.17	+-0.00	+0.04	+0.11	+0.22	+0.30	+0.33	+0.50	+0.67	+0.43
Winrate	39%	33%	33%	26%	22%	20%	18%	17%	17%	17%	13%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

291

10R

+0.663R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.11	+0.20	+0.25	+0.41	+0.44	+0.52	+0.62	+0.55	+0.61	+0.66
Winrate	48%	44%	40%	31%	28%	24%	22%	20%	17%	16%	15%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

10R

+0.638R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.23	+0.12	+0.09	+0.36	+0.60	+0.40	+0.49	+0.53	+0.53	+0.49	+0.64
Winrate	62%	45%	36%	34%	32%	23%	21%	19%	17%	15%	15%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.571R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.14	+0.07	+0.29	+0.52	+0.19	-0.14	+-0.00	+0.14	+0.29	+0.43	+0.57
Winrate	57%	43%	43%	38%	24%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%	14%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

285

+0.547R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.10	+0.22	+0.32	+0.42	+0.47	+0.55	+0.52	+0.55	+0.54	+0.43
Winrate	49%	44%	41%	33%	28%	25%	22%	19%	17%	15%	13%

ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

1.5R

+0.538R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.39	+0.54	+0.39	-0.08	+0.15	-0.54	-0.46	-0.39	-0.31	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	69%	62%	46%	23%	23%	8%	8%	8%	8%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

103

+0.515R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.09	+0.29	+0.28	+0.36	+0.46	+0.52	+0.43	+0.40	+0.14	+0.07	+0.07
Winrate	54%	52%	43%	34%	29%	25%	20%	18%	13%	11%	10%

SOLUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.500R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.25	+0.50	-0.33	-0.17	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	50%	50%	17%	17%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.479R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	+0.02	+0.06	+0.07	+0.34	+0.35	+0.48	+0.35	+0.27	-0.01	+0.09
Winrate	45%	41%	35%	27%	27%	22%	21%	17%	14%	10%	10%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

346

10R

+0.462R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.01	+0.13	+0.24	+0.28	+0.29	+0.39	+0.38	+0.39	+0.46	+0.45	+0.46
Winrate	49%	45%	41%	32%	26%	23%	20%	17%	16%	14%	13%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.434R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.13	+0.18	+0.24	+0.43	+0.23	+0.13	+0.06	+0.06	+0.19	+0.13	+0.04
Winrate	57%	47%	42%	36%	24%	19%	15%	13%	13%	11%	9%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.412R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.18	-0.04	+0.15	+0.29	+0.40	+0.41	+0.13	+0.06	+0.06	+0.03	-0.03
Winrate	41%	38%	38%	32%	28%	24%	16%	13%	12%	10%	9%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

10R

+0.394R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.04	+0.06	+0.01	+0.13	+0.34	+0.35	+0.28	+0.01	+0.14	+0.27	+0.39
Winrate	48%	42%	34%	28%	27%	22%	18%	13%	13%	13%	13%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

10R

+0.351R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.19	-0.12	-0.10	-0.16	-0.21	-0.26	-0.14	-0.02	+0.10	+0.23	+0.35
Winrate	40%	35%	30%	21%	16%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%	12%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

+0.340R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.17	+0.34	+0.28	+0.28	-0.11	-0.26	-0.15	-0.23	-0.15	-0.06
Winrate	49%	47%	45%	32%	26%	15%	11%	11%	8%	8%	8%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.324R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.03	+0.18	+0.32	+0.23	+0.25	+0.32	+0.23	+0.18	+0.19	+0.32	+0.29
Winrate	48%	47%	44%	31%	25%	22%	18%	15%	13%	13%	12%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.306R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.22	-0.13	-0.14	+0.14	-0.08	+0.10	+0.29	+0.31	+0.10	+0.22	-0.10
Winrate	39%	35%	29%	29%	18%	18%	18%	16%	12%	12%	8%

ETHUSDT 60m LONG Continuation +1

1.5R

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.25	-0.50	-0.33	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	50%	17%	17%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.10	-0.06	+-0.00	+0.21	+0.25	+0.25	+0.17	+0.25	+0.03	+0.15	+0.03
Winrate	45%	38%	33%	30%	25%	21%	17%	16%	12%	12%	9%

BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.12	+0.20	+0.20	+0.25	+0.20	+0.05	+0.20	-0.10	-0.50	-0.45
Winrate	50%	45%	40%	30%	25%	20%	15%	15%	10%	5%	5%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.250R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.12	-0.12	+-0.00	+0.08	+0.15	+0.25	+0.17	+0.17	+0.12	+0.04	-0.31
Winrate	44%	35%	33%	27%	23%	21%	17%	15%	12%	10%	6%

ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1

+0.233R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.20	-0.25	-0.14	+0.04	-0.11	+0.07	+0.15	+0.20	+0.23	+0.10	+0.06
Winrate	40%	30%	29%	26%	18%	18%	16%	15%	14%	11%	10%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1

104

+0.183R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	+0.15	+0.18	+0.08	+0.06	+0.04	+0.14	+0.08	+0.04	-0.14	-0.26
Winrate	53%	46%	39%	27%	21%	17%	16%	14%	12%	9%	7%

BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.170R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.02	+0.12	+0.02	+0.02	+0.17	+0.02	-0.11	+0.02	+0.15	+0.06	-0.06
Winrate	51%	45%	34%	26%	23%	17%	13%	13%	13%	11%	8%

SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.163R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.02	+0.02	+0.16	+0.14	+0.02	+0.10	+-0.00	-0.02	-0.08	-0.18	-0.33
Winrate	49%	41%	39%	29%	20%	18%	14%	12%	10%	8%	6%

SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1

+0.111R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.16	+0.00	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	+0.00	+0.11	-0.02
Winrate	42%	40%	29%	24%	18%	16%	13%	11%	11%	11%	9%

ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.105R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.05	+0.05	+0.10	+0.05	-0.21	-0.05	-0.63	-0.58	-0.53	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	47%	42%	37%	26%	16%	16%	5%	5%	5%	0%	0%

ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1

+0.103R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.24	-0.18	-0.02	+0.10	-0.14	-0.28	-0.64	-0.59	-0.69	-0.66	-0.81
Winrate	38%	33%	33%	28%	17%	12%	5%	5%	3%	3%	2%

BTCUSDT 30m LONG Continuation +1

+0.091R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.27	-0.32	-0.18	+0.09	-0.09	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	36%	27%	27%	27%	18%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1

+0.059R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	-0.18	+0.03	+0.06	-0.06	-0.41	-0.29	-0.59	-0.53	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	41%	41%	35%	24%	12%	12%	6%	6%	0%	0%	0%

SOLUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1

+0.059R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.06	-0.27	-0.12	-0.29	-0.41	-0.29	-0.18	-0.53	-0.47	-0.41	-0.35
Winrate	53%	29%	29%	18%	12%	12%	12%	6%	6%	6%	6%

BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1

1.5R

+0.016R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.00	+0.02	-0.06	-0.25	-0.84	-0.81	-0.78	-0.75	-1.00	-1.00	-1.00
Winrate	50%	41%	31%	19%	3%	3%	3%	3%	0%	0%	0%

⚠ Combos sans espérance positive

Combo	N
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1	21
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1	70
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1	19
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1	71
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1	54
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1	8
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1	8
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1	14
BTCUSDT 30m SHORT Reversal -1	7

▼ 🔍 Meilleurs filtres indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur

Tranche

Expectancy globale

Expectancy filtrée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (filtré)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

+0.55R (6R) — WR: 22%

+4.50R (8R) — WR: 61%

+3.95R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.81	+0.83	+1.44	+2.06	+2.67	+3.28	+3.89	+4.50	+4.00	+3.28
Winrate	78%	72%	61%	61%	61%	61%	61%	61%	61%	50%	39%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+1.42R (10R) — WR: 22%

+4.87R (10R) — WR: 53%

+3.45R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.40	+1.67	+2.33	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+3.80	+4.33	+4.87
Winrate	87%	87%	80%	67%	67%	60%	60%	60%	53%	53%	53%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

>70

+0.89R (9R) — WR: 19%

+3.40R (10R) — WR: 40%

+2.51R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+1.67	+2.00	+2.20	+1.80	+2.20	+2.60	+3.00	+3.40
Winrate	80%	80%	80%	67%	60%	53%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

<30

+0.68R (7R) — WR: 21%

+2.85R (10R) — WR: 35%

+2.17R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.60	+0.88	+0.95	+1.40	+1.50	+1.70	+2.15	+2.20	+2.15	+2.50	+2.85
Winrate	80%	75%	65%	60%	50%	45%	45%	40%	35%	35%	35%

BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

+1.00R (8R) — WR: 22%

+3.05R (8R) — WR: 45%

+2.05R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.70	+1.00	+1.25	+1.80	+2.00	+2.60	+2.85	+2.60	+3.05	+2.50	+2.85
Winrate	85%	80%	75%	70%	60%	60%	55%	45%	45%	35%	35%

ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+1.11R (9R) — WR: 21%

+3.00R (9R) — WR: 40%

+1.89R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.20	+0.33	+0.40	+0.60	+1.00	+1.40	+1.80	+2.20	+2.60	+3.00	+1.93
Winrate	60%	53%	47%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	40%	27%

SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

50-70

+0.40R (10R) — WR: 13%

+2.21R (10R) — WR: 29%

+1.81R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.50	+0.88	+0.75	+1.17	+1.50	+1.50	+1.33	+1.33	+1.63	+1.92	+2.21
Winrate	75%	75%	58%	54%	50%	42%	33%	29%	29%	29%	29%

BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1

EMA

positif

+0.82R (6R) — WR: 26%

+2.60R (7R) — WR: 45%

+1.78R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.80	+1.25	+1.25	+1.80	+2.25	+2.00	+2.50	+2.60	+2.15	+2.50	+2.30
Winrate	90%	90%	75%	70%	65%	50%	50%	45%	35%	35%	30%

ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

ADX

>35

+0.41R (5R) — WR: 24%

+2.12R (4R) — WR: 62%

+1.72R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.38	+0.72	+1.06	+1.50	+2.12	+2.00	+1.19	+1.00	+0.69	+0.25	-0.31
Winrate	69%	69%	69%	62%	62%	50%	31%	25%	19%	12%	6%

SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

30-50

+0.30R (7R) — WR: 16%

+1.95R (7R) — WR: 37%

+1.64R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.58	+0.71	+0.89	+1.53	+0.84	+1.21	+1.58	+1.95	+1.37	+1.63	+0.74
Winrate	79%	68%	63%	63%	37%	37%	37%	37%	26%	26%	16%

▼ 🔬 Meilleures combinaisons de 2 indicateurs (N≥15)

Combo

Indicateur 1

Tranche 1

Indicateur 2

Tranche 2

Expectancy globale

Expectancy combinée

Gain Expectancy

Expectancy & Winrate par niveau (combiné)

Courbe Esp

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.55R (6R) — WR: 22%

+4.50R (8R) — WR: 61%

+3.95R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.81	+0.83	+1.44	+2.06	+2.67	+3.28	+3.89	+4.50	+4.00	+3.28
Winrate	78%	72%	61%	61%	61%	61%	61%	61%	61%	50%	39%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

ADX

>35

+0.89R (9R) — WR: 19%

+4.82R (10R) — WR: 53%

+3.93R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.53	+0.91	+1.29	+1.82	+2.53	+2.88	+3.12	+3.24	+3.76	+4.29	+4.82
Winrate	76%	76%	76%	71%	71%	65%	59%	53%	53%	53%	53%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.89R (9R) — WR: 19%

+4.72R (10R) — WR: 52%

+3.83R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.68	+1.10	+1.52	+2.04	+2.60	+3.08	+2.92	+3.16	+3.68	+4.20	+4.72
Winrate	84%	84%	84%	76%	72%	68%	56%	52%	52%	52%	52%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.68R (7R) — WR: 21%

+4.50R (10R) — WR: 50%

+3.82R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.64	+1.05	+1.32	+1.55	+2.18	+2.82	+3.14	+3.36	+3.91	+4.00	+4.50
Winrate	82%	82%	77%	64%	64%	64%	59%	55%	55%	50%	50%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

RSI

<30

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.55R (6R) — WR: 22%

+4.29R (8R) — WR: 59%

+3.75R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.53	+0.76	+0.76	+1.35	+1.94	+2.53	+3.12	+3.71	+4.29	+3.71	+2.88
Winrate	76%	71%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	59%	47%	35%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+0.66R (10R) — WR: 15%

+4.29R (8R) — WR: 59%

+3.63R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.65	+0.91	+1.29	+1.82	+2.24	+2.53	+3.12	+3.71	+4.29	+4.29	+4.18
Winrate	82%	76%	76%	71%	65%	59%	59%	59%	59%	53%	47%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.42R (10R) — WR: 22%

+5.00R (9R) — WR: 60%

+3.58R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.66	+1.07	+1.49	+2.20	+2.86	+3.46	+4.20	+4.71	+4.40	+5.00	+4.66
Winrate	83%	83%	83%	80%	77%	74%	74%	71%	60%	60%	51%

BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.68R (7R) — WR: 21%

+4.16R (10R) — WR: 47%

+3.47R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.56	+0.95	+1.25	+1.50	+1.97	+2.56	+2.94	+3.25	+3.50	+3.69	+4.16
Winrate	78%	78%	75%	62%	59%	59%	56%	53%	50%	47%	47%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

Hist_MACD

positif

+1.42R (10R) — WR: 22%

+4.87R (10R) — WR: 53%

+3.44R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.40	+1.67	+2.33	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+3.80	+4.33	+4.87
Winrate	87%	87%	80%	67%	67%	60%	60%	60%	53%	53%	53%

ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

RSI

>70

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.42R (10R) — WR: 22%

+4.87R (10R) — WR: 53%

+3.44R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.73	+1.17	+1.40	+1.67	+2.33	+2.60	+3.20	+3.80	+3.80	+4.33	+4.87
Winrate	87%	87%	80%	67%	67%	60%	60%	60%	53%	53%	53%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

RSI

30-50

ADX

>35

+0.86R (10R) — WR: 17%

+4.22R (7R) — WR: 65%

+3.36R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.65	+1.07	+1.48	+2.13	+2.91	+3.17	+3.57	+4.22	+2.91	+2.91	+3.30
Winrate	83%	83%	83%	78%	78%	70%	65%	65%	43%	39%	39%

SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.86R (10R) — WR: 17%

+4.04R (7R) — WR: 63%

+3.18R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.70	+1.13	+1.56	+2.11	+2.70	+3.00	+3.41	+4.04	+3.00	+3.07	+3.48
Winrate	85%	85%	85%	78%	74%	67%	63%	63%	44%	41%	41%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1

RSI

50-70

Hist_MACD

négatif

+0.89R (9R) — WR: 19%

+3.97R (10R) — WR: 45%

+3.07R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.48	+0.77	+0.94	+1.45	+2.06	+2.48	+2.61	+2.87	+3.35	+3.84	+3.97
Winrate	74%	71%	65%	61%	61%	58%	52%	48%	48%	48%	45%

SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1

ADX

>35

EMA_Diff

positif

+1.47R (10R) — WR: 22%

+4.28R (10R) — WR: 48%

+2.81R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.76	+1.20	+1.52	+2.36	+2.60	+2.84	+3.20	+3.80	+4.04	+4.20	+4.28
Winrate	88%	88%	84%	84%	72%	64%	60%	60%	56%	52%	48%

ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1

Hist_MACD

positif

EMA_Diff

négatif

+0.76R (10R) — WR: 16%

+3.55R (10R) — WR: 41%

+2.80R

	1R	1.5R	2R	3R	4R	5R	6R	7R	8R	9R	10R
Expectancy	+0.52	+0.81	+1.17	+1.62	+1.93	+2.31	+2.14	+2.59	+3.03	+3.14	+3.55
Winrate	76%	72%	72%	66%	59%	55%	45%	45%	45%	41%	41%

▼ 🔀 Analyse MTF

Combo	Groupe	N	R moyen	Écart vs Isolés
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	5	7.4	—
	Confirmers	14	1.1	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	11	7.0	+7.0
	Confirmers	21	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	6	0.0	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	132	7.6	+6.6
	Isolés	220	0.9	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	82	7.3	+6.6
	Isolés	172	0.7	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	13	6.8	+6.6
	Confirmers	24	1.7	+1.5
	Isolés	10	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	139	7.4	+6.5
	Isolés	266	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	147	7.3	+6.4
	Isolés	230	0.9	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	86	7.0	+6.4
	Isolés	177	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	11	6.2	+6.2
	Confirmers	23	0.8	+0.8
	Isolés	11	0.0	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	123	6.8	+6.1
	Isolés	267	0.8	—
ETHUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	15	6.1	+6.1
	Confirmers	28	1.0	+1.0
	Isolés	11	0.0	—
ETHUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	87	6.9	+6.1
	Isolés	204	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	101	6.8	+6.0
	Isolés	184	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 1m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	101	6.7	+6.0
	Isolés	190	0.8	—
SOLUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	129	6.9	+5.9
	Isolés	261	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	16	6.1	+5.9
	Confirmers	26	1.6	+1.4
	Isolés	8	0.2	—
BTCUSDT 5m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	9	6.4	+5.8
	Confirmers	33	0.7	+0.1
	Isolés	12	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	18	6.3	+5.8
	Confirmers	28	1.4	+0.8
	Isolés	22	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	12	6.2	+5.7
	Confirmers	21	0.9	+0.5
	Isolés	14	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 1m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	97	6.4	+5.7
	Isolés	188	0.7	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	23	5.9	+5.6
	Confirmers	23	0.9	+0.6
	Isolés	25	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 1m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	102	6.3	+5.4
	Isolés	244	1.0	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	6	5.3	+5.0
	Confirmers	9	1.3	+0.9
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	36	5.5	+4.9
	Confirmers	32	1.7	+1.1
	Isolés	35	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	11	5.5	+4.9
	Confirmers	22	1.5	+0.9
	Isolés	16	0.6	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	18	5.0	+4.8
	Confirmers	21	0.5	+0.3
	Isolés	18	0.2	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	5.2	+4.6
	Confirmers	31	0.9	+0.3
	Isolés	18	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	28	5.2	+4.5
	Confirmers	36	1.3	+0.7
	Isolés	32	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 30m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	4	4.5	—
	Confirmers	4	1.1	—
SOLUSDT 3m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	26	5.1	+4.5
	Confirmers	22	0.8	+0.1
	Isolés	23	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	23	5.0	+4.5
	Confirmers	28	0.6	+0.0
	Isolés	22	0.6	—
ETHUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	8	5.0	+4.3
	Confirmers	25	2.0	+1.4
	Isolés	15	0.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	26	4.8	+4.2
	Confirmers	19	0.8	+0.3
	Isolés	23	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 3m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	16	4.6	+4.1
	Confirmers	14	1.1	+0.6
	Isolés	19	0.5	—
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	3	4.0	—
	Confirmers	15	0.6	—
BTCUSDT 5m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	14	5.6	+3.9
	Confirmers	34	1.2	-0.5
	Isolés	5	1.7	—
ETHUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	32	5.0	+3.9
	Confirmers	34	0.8	-0.3
	Isolés	38	1.1	—
SOLUSDT 5m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	14	4.8	+3.9
	Confirmers	23	1.1	+0.2
	Isolés	10	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	9	4.1	+3.7
	Confirmers	8	0.8	+0.4
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	7	3.7	—
	Confirmers	11	0.4	—
BTCUSDT 3m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	22	4.0	+3.7
	Confirmers	25	0.5	+0.2
	Isolés	24	0.2	—
SOLUSDT 15m LONG Continuation +1
	Starters	5	4.0	+3.7
	Confirmers	13	1.0	+0.7
	Isolés	3	0.3	—
ETHUSDT 15m LONG Reversal +1
	Starters	3	3.5	—
	Confirmers	8	1.7	—
SOLUSDT 15m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	4	3.5	—
	Confirmers	11	0.9	—
BTCUSDT 3m SHORT Reversal -1
	Starters	22	3.0	+2.5
	Confirmers	23	1.1	+0.6
	Isolés	25	0.5	—
BTCUSDT 15m SHORT Continuation -1
	Starters	9	2.8	+2.2
	Confirmers	13	0.5	-0.0
	Isolés	10	0.6	—